Recent forecast updates from numerical weather prediction models indicate a frontal system with southwest winds and widespread rain will reach the Netherlands on September 8, suppressing daytime heating and favoring a maximum temperature of 19–20°C at Amsterdam’s Schiphol station. This aligns with the historical average high of 20.0°C for the date while reflecting cooler-than-recent conditions after early-September readings near 22–23°C. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential above 21°C given persistent cloud cover and precipitation, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any clearing. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will further constrain the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
20°C 48%
19°C 33%
21°C 13%
18°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
9%
19°C
33%
20°C
48%
21°C
13%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 48%
19°C 33%
21°C 13%
18°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
$280 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$574 Vol.
9%
19°C
$812 Vol.
33%
20°C
$469 Vol.
48%
21°C
$409 Vol.
13%
22°C
$113 Vol.
4%
23°C
$39 Vol.
1%
24°C
$243 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$254 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from numerical weather prediction models indicate a frontal system with southwest winds and widespread rain will reach the Netherlands on September 8, suppressing daytime heating and favoring a maximum temperature of 19–20°C at Amsterdam’s Schiphol station. This aligns with the historical average high of 20.0°C for the date while reflecting cooler-than-recent conditions after early-September readings near 22–23°C. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential above 21°C given persistent cloud cover and precipitation, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any clearing. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will further constrain the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,194End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from numerical weather prediction models indicate a frontal system with southwest winds and widespread rain will reach the Netherlands on September 8, suppressing daytime heating and favoring a maximum temperature of 19–20°C at Amsterdam’s Schiphol station. This aligns with the historical average high of 20.0°C for the date while reflecting cooler-than-recent conditions after early-September readings near 22–23°C. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential above 21°C given persistent cloud cover and precipitation, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any clearing. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will further constrain the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,194End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from numerical weather prediction models indicate a frontal system with southwest winds and widespread rain will reach the Netherlands on September 8, suppressing daytime heating and favoring a maximum temperature of 19–20°C at Amsterdam’s Schiphol station. This aligns with the historical average high of 20.0°C for the date while reflecting cooler-than-recent conditions after early-September readings near 22–23°C. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential above 21°C given persistent cloud cover and precipitation, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any clearing. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will further constrain the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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