Marine layer influences and scattered showers forecast for September 6 are suppressing daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs primarily in the mid-70s at coastal and airport locations. Onshore flow, elevated humidity, and 70% precipitation chances have kept morning temperatures cooler than recent days, reducing the potential for afternoon warming to the upper 70s or beyond. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 74-75°F, while lower odds on 78°F+ outcomes reflect limited model support for stronger offshore winds or clearing skies that would allow greater insolation. Historical September averages near 76-77°F provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?
74-75°F 57%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 11%
80-81°F 4%
$52,317 Vol.
$52,317 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
57%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 57%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 11%
80-81°F 4%
$52,317 Vol.
$52,317 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
67°F or below
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$533 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$569 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,222 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$10,250 Vol.
57%
76-77°F
$8,913 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$11,491 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$6,826 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$5,804 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$3,202 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$2,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer influences and scattered showers forecast for September 6 are suppressing daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs primarily in the mid-70s at coastal and airport locations. Onshore flow, elevated humidity, and 70% precipitation chances have kept morning temperatures cooler than recent days, reducing the potential for afternoon warming to the upper 70s or beyond. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 74-75°F, while lower odds on 78°F+ outcomes reflect limited model support for stronger offshore winds or clearing skies that would allow greater insolation. Historical September averages near 76-77°F provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$52,317End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer influences and scattered showers forecast for September 6 are suppressing daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs primarily in the mid-70s at coastal and airport locations. Onshore flow, elevated humidity, and 70% precipitation chances have kept morning temperatures cooler than recent days, reducing the potential for afternoon warming to the upper 70s or beyond. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 74-75°F, while lower odds on 78°F+ outcomes reflect limited model support for stronger offshore winds or clearing skies that would allow greater insolation. Historical September averages near 76-77°F provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,317End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer influences and scattered showers forecast for September 6 are suppressing daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs primarily in the mid-70s at coastal and airport locations. Onshore flow, elevated humidity, and 70% precipitation chances have kept morning temperatures cooler than recent days, reducing the potential for afternoon warming to the upper 70s or beyond. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 74-75°F, while lower odds on 78°F+ outcomes reflect limited model support for stronger offshore winds or clearing skies that would allow greater insolation. Historical September averages near 76-77°F provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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