**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 8 centers on the 25–27°C range, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** In this tropical monsoon climate near the equator, overnight minimums occur just before dawn and depend primarily on cloud cover, precipitation, and boundary-layer mixing. September falls in the peak rainy season under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which promotes widespread convection, thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–26°C. These factors suppress clear-sky cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around historical averages of 24–25°C. Current short-range guidance indicates mostly cloudy skies and scattered storms on the night of September 7–8, which would favor readings near 26–27°C by reducing longwave radiation loss. Clearer breaks or lighter winds could allow slightly more cooling toward 25°C, while stronger convection or higher moisture might hold temperatures at the upper end of that band. Model differences in timing and coverage of overnight cloud and rain create the tight probability spread across the leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 23°C or at or above 30°C given the established seasonal baseline and lack of strong synoptic cooling mechanisms. Updated forecast runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
20°C or below 59%
30°C or higher 59%
24°C 50%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
59%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
30%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
59%
20°C or below 59%
30°C or higher 59%
24°C 50%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
59%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
30%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 8 centers on the 25–27°C range, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** In this tropical monsoon climate near the equator, overnight minimums occur just before dawn and depend primarily on cloud cover, precipitation, and boundary-layer mixing. September falls in the peak rainy season under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which promotes widespread convection, thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–26°C. These factors suppress clear-sky cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around historical averages of 24–25°C. Current short-range guidance indicates mostly cloudy skies and scattered storms on the night of September 7–8, which would favor readings near 26–27°C by reducing longwave radiation loss. Clearer breaks or lighter winds could allow slightly more cooling toward 25°C, while stronger convection or higher moisture might hold temperatures at the upper end of that band. Model differences in timing and coverage of overnight cloud and rain create the tight probability spread across the leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 23°C or at or above 30°C given the established seasonal baseline and lack of strong synoptic cooling mechanisms. Updated forecast runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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