**Trader consensus at 99.4% for a 12°C high in Buenos Aires on September 6 reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts and observational data.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models such as those referenced by Météo-France affiliates and Yr.no, project a daytime maximum of 10–12°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with southerly to southeasterly winds, low humidity, and partly cloudy to clear skies limiting warming. Afternoon readings near 10°C as of mid-September 6 align with this range, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region where daily highs typically hover in the low teens Celsius. The market-implied odds capture this near-certainty, as resolution hinges on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary station. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised steering patterns or model disagreement, though current consensus and proximity to evening make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6?
12°C 99.4%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
6°C or below <1%
$31,388 Vol.
$31,388 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
99%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.4%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
6°C or below <1%
$31,388 Vol.
$31,388 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
6°C or below
$232 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$697 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,315 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$8,179 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$8,878 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$7,254 Vol.
99%
13°C
$2,377 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,633 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.4% for a 12°C high in Buenos Aires on September 6 reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts and observational data.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models such as those referenced by Météo-France affiliates and Yr.no, project a daytime maximum of 10–12°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with southerly to southeasterly winds, low humidity, and partly cloudy to clear skies limiting warming. Afternoon readings near 10°C as of mid-September 6 align with this range, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region where daily highs typically hover in the low teens Celsius.
The market-implied odds capture this near-certainty, as resolution hinges on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary station. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised steering patterns or model disagreement, though current consensus and proximity to evening make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$31,388End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.4% for a 12°C high in Buenos Aires on September 6 reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts and observational data.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models such as those referenced by Météo-France affiliates and Yr.no, project a daytime maximum of 10–12°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with southerly to southeasterly winds, low humidity, and partly cloudy to clear skies limiting warming. Afternoon readings near 10°C as of mid-September 6 align with this range, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region where daily highs typically hover in the low teens Celsius.
The market-implied odds capture this near-certainty, as resolution hinges on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary station. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised steering patterns or model disagreement, though current consensus and proximity to evening make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,388End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 99.4% for a 12°C high in Buenos Aires on September 6 reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts and observational data.** Multiple meteorological sources, including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models such as those referenced by Météo-France affiliates and Yr.no, project a daytime maximum of 10–12°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with southerly to southeasterly winds, low humidity, and partly cloudy to clear skies limiting warming. Afternoon readings near 10°C as of mid-September 6 align with this range, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region where daily highs typically hover in the low teens Celsius. The market-implied odds capture this near-certainty, as resolution hinges on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary station. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised steering patterns or model disagreement, though current consensus and proximity to evening make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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