Official meteorological observations from Munich-area stations, including Nymphenburg, recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and surface pressures near 1025 hPa, aligning with model consensus from GFS runs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.2°C but falls well below historical September extremes near 29°C. With evening temperatures already declining below 18°C and no further warming expected before midnight, the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 24°C reflects verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty. Resolution could shift only if the designated official source applies different rounding conventions or reports a revised peak from a secondary station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 6?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$69,324 Vol.
$69,324 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$69,324 Vol.
$69,324 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
$3,779 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$27,573 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,670 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$857 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,774 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,885 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,911 Vol.
100%
25°C
$9,750 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,860 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Munich-area stations, including Nymphenburg, recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and surface pressures near 1025 hPa, aligning with model consensus from GFS runs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.2°C but falls well below historical September extremes near 29°C. With evening temperatures already declining below 18°C and no further warming expected before midnight, the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 24°C reflects verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty. Resolution could shift only if the designated official source applies different rounding conventions or reports a revised peak from a secondary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$69,324End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Munich-area stations, including Nymphenburg, recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and surface pressures near 1025 hPa, aligning with model consensus from GFS runs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.2°C but falls well below historical September extremes near 29°C. With evening temperatures already declining below 18°C and no further warming expected before midnight, the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 24°C reflects verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty. Resolution could shift only if the designated official source applies different rounding conventions or reports a revised peak from a secondary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,324End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from Munich-area stations, including Nymphenburg, recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and surface pressures near 1025 hPa, aligning with model consensus from GFS runs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.2°C but falls well below historical September extremes near 29°C. With evening temperatures already declining below 18°C and no further warming expected before midnight, the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 24°C reflects verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty. Resolution could shift only if the designated official source applies different rounding conventions or reports a revised peak from a secondary station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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