Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS, ECMWF, and DWD output, indicate Munich will reach a peak temperature near 28°C on September 7 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This synoptic setup—stable high pressure and modest diurnal heating—supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s°C, well above the 21°C September average but below the 29.6°C record. Low ensemble spread and consistent hourly profiles across sources have reinforced trader consensus around 28°C as the most probable outcome, with limited upside to 29°C or higher given current steering patterns and cloud trends. Updated model runs through early September 6 show no significant shifts that would alter these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 7?
28°C 51%
27°C 28%
29°C 15%
26°C 5%
NEW
$18,973 Vol.
NEW
$18,973 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
28%
28°C
51%
29°C
15%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 51%
27°C 28%
29°C 15%
26°C 5%
NEW
$18,973 Vol.
NEW
$18,973 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
$854 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$650 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,014 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,337 Vol.
5%
27°C
$3,252 Vol.
28%
28°C
$5,020 Vol.
51%
29°C
$3,994 Vol.
15%
30°C
$656 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$258 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS, ECMWF, and DWD output, indicate Munich will reach a peak temperature near 28°C on September 7 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This synoptic setup—stable high pressure and modest diurnal heating—supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s°C, well above the 21°C September average but below the 29.6°C record. Low ensemble spread and consistent hourly profiles across sources have reinforced trader consensus around 28°C as the most probable outcome, with limited upside to 29°C or higher given current steering patterns and cloud trends. Updated model runs through early September 6 show no significant shifts that would alter these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$18,973End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS, ECMWF, and DWD output, indicate Munich will reach a peak temperature near 28°C on September 7 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This synoptic setup—stable high pressure and modest diurnal heating—supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s°C, well above the 21°C September average but below the 29.6°C record. Low ensemble spread and consistent hourly profiles across sources have reinforced trader consensus around 28°C as the most probable outcome, with limited upside to 29°C or higher given current steering patterns and cloud trends. Updated model runs through early September 6 show no significant shifts that would alter these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,973End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS, ECMWF, and DWD output, indicate Munich will reach a peak temperature near 28°C on September 7 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This synoptic setup—stable high pressure and modest diurnal heating—supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s°C, well above the 21°C September average but below the 29.6°C record. Low ensemble spread and consistent hourly profiles across sources have reinforced trader consensus around 28°C as the most probable outcome, with limited upside to 29°C or higher given current steering patterns and cloud trends. Updated model runs through early September 6 show no significant shifts that would alter these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions