**Trader consensus at 99.6% for 28°C reflects real-time forecasts and observations showing Paris reaching a daily maximum near that threshold on September 6, 2026.** Models such as GFS and guidance from Météo-France project a peak of 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds shifting southeast, and low precipitation risk, consistent with afternoon warming from morning lows around 17 °C. This aligns with current surface readings near 28–29 °C and exceeds the long-term September 6 average high of roughly 23 °C without breaching higher thresholds. Uncertainties in model resolution or slight differences at the official measuring station could still allow 29–30 °C if daytime heating intensifies beyond current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 6?
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$84,307 Vol.
$84,307 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$84,307 Vol.
$84,307 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$4,783 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,798 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$18,845 Vol.
100%
29°C
$11,176 Vol.
1%
30°C
$14,032 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,818 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,243 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,644 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$11,563 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.6% for 28°C reflects real-time forecasts and observations showing Paris reaching a daily maximum near that threshold on September 6, 2026.**
Models such as GFS and guidance from Météo-France project a peak of 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds shifting southeast, and low precipitation risk, consistent with afternoon warming from morning lows around 17 °C. This aligns with current surface readings near 28–29 °C and exceeds the long-term September 6 average high of roughly 23 °C without breaching higher thresholds.
Uncertainties in model resolution or slight differences at the official measuring station could still allow 29–30 °C if daytime heating intensifies beyond current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$84,307End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.6% for 28°C reflects real-time forecasts and observations showing Paris reaching a daily maximum near that threshold on September 6, 2026.**
Models such as GFS and guidance from Météo-France project a peak of 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds shifting southeast, and low precipitation risk, consistent with afternoon warming from morning lows around 17 °C. This aligns with current surface readings near 28–29 °C and exceeds the long-term September 6 average high of roughly 23 °C without breaching higher thresholds.
Uncertainties in model resolution or slight differences at the official measuring station could still allow 29–30 °C if daytime heating intensifies beyond current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,307End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 99.6% for 28°C reflects real-time forecasts and observations showing Paris reaching a daily maximum near that threshold on September 6, 2026.** Models such as GFS and guidance from Météo-France project a peak of 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds shifting southeast, and low precipitation risk, consistent with afternoon warming from morning lows around 17 °C. This aligns with current surface readings near 28–29 °C and exceeds the long-term September 6 average high of roughly 23 °C without breaching higher thresholds. Uncertainties in model resolution or slight differences at the official measuring station could still allow 29–30 °C if daytime heating intensifies beyond current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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