Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 7 centered near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds. This consensus drives the market-implied 50% probability for exactly 28°C, with 27°C and 29°C as the next most likely outcomes reflecting typical model spread and diurnal heating patterns. Afternoon surface observations on September 6 showed temperatures climbing into the upper 20s Celsius amid clearing high clouds, supporting continued warming potential before any evening stabilization. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, but recent model agreement and the absence of strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection keep probabilities tightly clustered around these three values ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 7?
28°C 53%
27°C 25%
29°C 16%
26°C 2%
NEW
$22,133 Vol.
NEW
$22,133 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
25%
28°C
53%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 53%
27°C 25%
29°C 16%
26°C 2%
NEW
$22,133 Vol.
NEW
$22,133 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$3,345 Vol.
1%
25°C
$991 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,622 Vol.
2%
27°C
$3,941 Vol.
25%
28°C
$3,005 Vol.
53%
29°C
$2,481 Vol.
16%
30°C
$2,474 Vol.
2%
31°C
$490 Vol.
1%
32°C
$615 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 7 centered near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds. This consensus drives the market-implied 50% probability for exactly 28°C, with 27°C and 29°C as the next most likely outcomes reflecting typical model spread and diurnal heating patterns. Afternoon surface observations on September 6 showed temperatures climbing into the upper 20s Celsius amid clearing high clouds, supporting continued warming potential before any evening stabilization. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, but recent model agreement and the absence of strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection keep probabilities tightly clustered around these three values ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$22,133End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 7 centered near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds. This consensus drives the market-implied 50% probability for exactly 28°C, with 27°C and 29°C as the next most likely outcomes reflecting typical model spread and diurnal heating patterns. Afternoon surface observations on September 6 showed temperatures climbing into the upper 20s Celsius amid clearing high clouds, supporting continued warming potential before any evening stabilization. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, but recent model agreement and the absence of strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection keep probabilities tightly clustered around these three values ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,133End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 7 centered near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds. This consensus drives the market-implied 50% probability for exactly 28°C, with 27°C and 29°C as the next most likely outcomes reflecting typical model spread and diurnal heating patterns. Afternoon surface observations on September 6 showed temperatures climbing into the upper 20s Celsius amid clearing high clouds, supporting continued warming potential before any evening stabilization. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, but recent model agreement and the absence of strong frontal systems or significant moisture advection keep probabilities tightly clustered around these three values ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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