**Trader consensus strongly favors a 12°C minimum in Paris on September 6, 2026, reflecting numerical weather prediction models and observational data pointing to radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight.** High-pressure influence and light easterly winds have supported efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime highs reached 28–30°C, aligning the projected low with the long-term climatological average low of roughly 12.6°C for the date. Official guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and ensemble runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warm advection or widespread cloud cover that would elevate overnight temperatures. Unusually persistent clear conditions or a shift in steering flow could push readings a degree or two higher, but current model consensus and real-time surface observations make such deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 6?
12°C 99.6%
11°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$6,214 Vol.
$6,214 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.6%
11°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$6,214 Vol.
$6,214 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$228 Vol.
1%
11°C
$460 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,803 Vol.
100%
13°C
$1,980 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,249 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 12°C minimum in Paris on September 6, 2026, reflecting numerical weather prediction models and observational data pointing to radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight.** High-pressure influence and light easterly winds have supported efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime highs reached 28–30°C, aligning the projected low with the long-term climatological average low of roughly 12.6°C for the date. Official guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and ensemble runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warm advection or widespread cloud cover that would elevate overnight temperatures.
Unusually persistent clear conditions or a shift in steering flow could push readings a degree or two higher, but current model consensus and real-time surface observations make such deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,214End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 12°C minimum in Paris on September 6, 2026, reflecting numerical weather prediction models and observational data pointing to radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight.** High-pressure influence and light easterly winds have supported efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime highs reached 28–30°C, aligning the projected low with the long-term climatological average low of roughly 12.6°C for the date. Official guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and ensemble runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warm advection or widespread cloud cover that would elevate overnight temperatures.
Unusually persistent clear conditions or a shift in steering flow could push readings a degree or two higher, but current model consensus and real-time surface observations make such deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,214End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 12°C minimum in Paris on September 6, 2026, reflecting numerical weather prediction models and observational data pointing to radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight.** High-pressure influence and light easterly winds have supported efficient heat loss from the surface after daytime highs reached 28–30°C, aligning the projected low with the long-term climatological average low of roughly 12.6°C for the date. Official guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and ensemble runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warm advection or widespread cloud cover that would elevate overnight temperatures. Unusually persistent clear conditions or a shift in steering flow could push readings a degree or two higher, but current model consensus and real-time surface observations make such deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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