**Recent forecasts indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on September 8, 2026, will most likely fall in the 14–17°C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 16°C (36.5%), 15°C (24.5%), and 17°C (21.5%).** An approaching oceanic front is driving a notable cooldown after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover plus scattered rain limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in current forecasts, show overnight lows on the 8th clustered between roughly 12–17°C, with the tightest consensus near 15–16°C amid moderate winds and precipitation probabilities of 50–70%. This represents a shift from the preceding days’ highs near 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal transition patterns where September frontal passages often produce minimum temperatures 3–6°C below early-month averages (historical Sept 8 low around 12°C). Traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and the narrow uncertainty band for a single-day minimum, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to limited expected variability in steering patterns or intensification of the front before resolution. Further model updates and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 8?
12°C 42%
16°C 37%
14°C 35%
13°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
23%
12°C
42%
13°C
24%
14°C
35%
15°C
24%
16°C
37%
17°C
21%
18°C
15%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
6%
12°C 42%
16°C 37%
14°C 35%
13°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
42%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
35%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$161 Vol.
37%
17°C
$3 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on September 8, 2026, will most likely fall in the 14–17°C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 16°C (36.5%), 15°C (24.5%), and 17°C (21.5%).**
An approaching oceanic front is driving a notable cooldown after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover plus scattered rain limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in current forecasts, show overnight lows on the 8th clustered between roughly 12–17°C, with the tightest consensus near 15–16°C amid moderate winds and precipitation probabilities of 50–70%.
This represents a shift from the preceding days’ highs near 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal transition patterns where September frontal passages often produce minimum temperatures 3–6°C below early-month averages (historical Sept 8 low around 12°C). Traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and the narrow uncertainty band for a single-day minimum, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to limited expected variability in steering patterns or intensification of the front before resolution. Further model updates and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$164End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on September 8, 2026, will most likely fall in the 14–17°C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 16°C (36.5%), 15°C (24.5%), and 17°C (21.5%).**
An approaching oceanic front is driving a notable cooldown after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover plus scattered rain limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in current forecasts, show overnight lows on the 8th clustered between roughly 12–17°C, with the tightest consensus near 15–16°C amid moderate winds and precipitation probabilities of 50–70%.
This represents a shift from the preceding days’ highs near 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal transition patterns where September frontal passages often produce minimum temperatures 3–6°C below early-month averages (historical Sept 8 low around 12°C). Traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and the narrow uncertainty band for a single-day minimum, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to limited expected variability in steering patterns or intensification of the front before resolution. Further model updates and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$164End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on September 8, 2026, will most likely fall in the 14–17°C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 16°C (36.5%), 15°C (24.5%), and 17°C (21.5%).** An approaching oceanic front is driving a notable cooldown after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover plus scattered rain limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in current forecasts, show overnight lows on the 8th clustered between roughly 12–17°C, with the tightest consensus near 15–16°C amid moderate winds and precipitation probabilities of 50–70%. This represents a shift from the preceding days’ highs near 28–30°C, consistent with seasonal transition patterns where September frontal passages often produce minimum temperatures 3–6°C below early-month averages (historical Sept 8 low around 12°C). Traders are weighting the most recent model consensus and the narrow uncertainty band for a single-day minimum, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to limited expected variability in steering patterns or intensification of the front before resolution. Further model updates and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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