**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 6, 2026, reflects tight uncertainty between a typical tropical low near 25°C and the possibility of a cooler overnight reading.** Forecasts from regional models indicate daytime highs around 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity during the rainy season. Overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects from afternoon/evening convection are expected to bring the minimum down to approximately 25°C, consistent with climatological September baselines of 24–26°C. The near-even split between the 48% probability on 20°C or below and the 47.5% on 25°C (with similar odds clustered around 21–26°C) stems from model variability in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and exact timing of showers, which can enhance nocturnal cooling or maintain warmer conditions under cloud cover. Outcomes above 27°C carry negligible odds, aligning with the strong consensus against unusually warm nights. Updated model runs and real-time observations from monitoring stations will likely refine these probabilities as the evening progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 6?
20°C or below 96%
21°C 91%
23°C 91%
24°C 91%
$327 Vol.
$327 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
96%
21°C
91%
22°C
90%
23°C
91%
24°C
91%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 96%
21°C 91%
23°C 91%
24°C 91%
$327 Vol.
$327 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
96%
21°C
$5 Vol.
91%
22°C
$5 Vol.
90%
23°C
$30 Vol.
91%
24°C
$30 Vol.
91%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$12 Vol.
48%
27°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 6, 2026, reflects tight uncertainty between a typical tropical low near 25°C and the possibility of a cooler overnight reading.** Forecasts from regional models indicate daytime highs around 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity during the rainy season. Overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects from afternoon/evening convection are expected to bring the minimum down to approximately 25°C, consistent with climatological September baselines of 24–26°C.
The near-even split between the 48% probability on 20°C or below and the 47.5% on 25°C (with similar odds clustered around 21–26°C) stems from model variability in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and exact timing of showers, which can enhance nocturnal cooling or maintain warmer conditions under cloud cover. Outcomes above 27°C carry negligible odds, aligning with the strong consensus against unusually warm nights. Updated model runs and real-time observations from monitoring stations will likely refine these probabilities as the evening progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$327End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 6, 2026, reflects tight uncertainty between a typical tropical low near 25°C and the possibility of a cooler overnight reading.** Forecasts from regional models indicate daytime highs around 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity during the rainy season. Overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects from afternoon/evening convection are expected to bring the minimum down to approximately 25°C, consistent with climatological September baselines of 24–26°C.
The near-even split between the 48% probability on 20°C or below and the 47.5% on 25°C (with similar odds clustered around 21–26°C) stems from model variability in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and exact timing of showers, which can enhance nocturnal cooling or maintain warmer conditions under cloud cover. Outcomes above 27°C carry negligible odds, aligning with the strong consensus against unusually warm nights. Updated model runs and real-time observations from monitoring stations will likely refine these probabilities as the evening progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$327End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 6, 2026, reflects tight uncertainty between a typical tropical low near 25°C and the possibility of a cooler overnight reading.** Forecasts from regional models indicate daytime highs around 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity during the rainy season. Overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects from afternoon/evening convection are expected to bring the minimum down to approximately 25°C, consistent with climatological September baselines of 24–26°C. The near-even split between the 48% probability on 20°C or below and the 47.5% on 25°C (with similar odds clustered around 21–26°C) stems from model variability in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and exact timing of showers, which can enhance nocturnal cooling or maintain warmer conditions under cloud cover. Outcomes above 27°C carry negligible odds, aligning with the strong consensus against unusually warm nights. Updated model runs and real-time observations from monitoring stations will likely refine these probabilities as the evening progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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