**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Panama City, Panama, today, reflecting current observational data and short-term model guidance.** Afternoon temperatures have hovered near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the region's wet-season climatology where convective activity and high humidity (often above 80%) limit peak heating. Official forecasts from global models indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C, though brief breaks in cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 31–32°C before widespread showers develop. Lower probabilities for 33°C+ align with the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions that would support extreme readings, while sub-30°C outcomes remain unlikely given persistent warmth and minimal frontal influences. Updated model runs and local station reports through the afternoon will refine these implied probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 6?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 6?
31°C 99%
32°C 2%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$13,976 Vol.
$13,976 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
31°C 99%
32°C 2%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$13,976 Vol.
$13,976 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
$2,334 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$458 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$675 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,779 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,820 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,292 Vol.
99%
32°C
$2,049 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$739 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Panama City, Panama, today, reflecting current observational data and short-term model guidance.** Afternoon temperatures have hovered near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the region's wet-season climatology where convective activity and high humidity (often above 80%) limit peak heating. Official forecasts from global models indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C, though brief breaks in cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 31–32°C before widespread showers develop. Lower probabilities for 33°C+ align with the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions that would support extreme readings, while sub-30°C outcomes remain unlikely given persistent warmth and minimal frontal influences. Updated model runs and local station reports through the afternoon will refine these implied probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,976End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Panama City, Panama, today, reflecting current observational data and short-term model guidance.** Afternoon temperatures have hovered near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the region's wet-season climatology where convective activity and high humidity (often above 80%) limit peak heating. Official forecasts from global models indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C, though brief breaks in cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 31–32°C before widespread showers develop. Lower probabilities for 33°C+ align with the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions that would support extreme readings, while sub-30°C outcomes remain unlikely given persistent warmth and minimal frontal influences. Updated model runs and local station reports through the afternoon will refine these implied probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,976End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Panama City, Panama, today, reflecting current observational data and short-term model guidance.** Afternoon temperatures have hovered near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the region's wet-season climatology where convective activity and high humidity (often above 80%) limit peak heating. Official forecasts from global models indicate a daily maximum of 29–30°C, though brief breaks in cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 31–32°C before widespread showers develop. Lower probabilities for 33°C+ align with the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions that would support extreme readings, while sub-30°C outcomes remain unlikely given persistent warmth and minimal frontal influences. Updated model runs and local station reports through the afternoon will refine these implied probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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