**Trader sentiment for Denver's lowest temperature on September 6, 2026, centers on the 60-61°F bin (85.5% implied probability), with 57°F or below at 25.5%.** This reflects National Weather Service and NOAA forecast consensus for an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical early-September radiative cooling after daytime highs near 85-94°F. Official point forecasts from NWS Denver/Boulder and supporting models show lows around 60-64°F, consistent with recent observations (prior overnight minima in the upper 50s to mid-60s) and the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes. Historical September normals near 54°F provide context, but current atmospheric conditions—stable high pressure and modest moisture—favor the narrower 60-61°F range over cooler or warmer outliers. Upcoming NWS updates and any late-day model shifts could refine this, though no major forecast divergence has emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 6?
60-61°F 99%
57°F or below 51%
58-59°F 5%
62-63°F <1%
$962 Vol.
$962 Vol.
57°F or below
51%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
85%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 99%
57°F or below 51%
58-59°F 5%
62-63°F <1%
$962 Vol.
$962 Vol.
57°F or below
51%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
85%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Denver's lowest temperature on September 6, 2026, centers on the 60-61°F bin (85.5% implied probability), with 57°F or below at 25.5%.** This reflects National Weather Service and NOAA forecast consensus for an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical early-September radiative cooling after daytime highs near 85-94°F. Official point forecasts from NWS Denver/Boulder and supporting models show lows around 60-64°F, consistent with recent observations (prior overnight minima in the upper 50s to mid-60s) and the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes. Historical September normals near 54°F provide context, but current atmospheric conditions—stable high pressure and modest moisture—favor the narrower 60-61°F range over cooler or warmer outliers. Upcoming NWS updates and any late-day model shifts could refine this, though no major forecast divergence has emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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