The Moroccan legislative elections on September 23, 2026, feature a fragmented contest among the main governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—alongside smaller formations, with recent coalition strains and candidate recruitment shaping expectations for third place. Internal tensions have intensified as Istiqlal and PAM aligned with opposition calls for inquiries on issues like meat imports, prompting RNI criticism of coalition breaches, while PAM has pursued high-profile affiliations such as Fouzi Lekjaa’s move from technocratic roles and drawn defectors from RNI ranks. Public distrust in the government, reflected in polls showing widespread indecision and low support across parties, limits any single contender’s dominance and keeps the three coalition partners closely positioned in seat projections. PJD retains modest implied probability tied to urban protest sentiment and historical bases, though its low current representation constrains upside. Local candidate strength, regional strongholds, and last-minute alliance signals could still reorder the final standings among the leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRNI 40%
PI 34%
PAM 12%
PJD 1.1%
$31,534 Vol.
$31,534 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
40%
PI
34%
PAM
12%
PJD
6%
UC
1%
MP
<1%
USFP
<1%
PPS
<1%
RNI 40%
PI 34%
PAM 12%
PJD 1.1%
$31,534 Vol.
$31,534 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
$14,438 Vol.
40%
PI
$13,413 Vol.
34%
PAM
$1,192 Vol.
12%
PJD
$462 Vol.
6%
UC
$435 Vol.
1%
MP
$470 Vol.
<1%
USFP
$767 Vol.
<1%
PPS
$358 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The Moroccan legislative elections on September 23, 2026, feature a fragmented contest among the main governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—alongside smaller formations, with recent coalition strains and candidate recruitment shaping expectations for third place. Internal tensions have intensified as Istiqlal and PAM aligned with opposition calls for inquiries on issues like meat imports, prompting RNI criticism of coalition breaches, while PAM has pursued high-profile affiliations such as Fouzi Lekjaa’s move from technocratic roles and drawn defectors from RNI ranks. Public distrust in the government, reflected in polls showing widespread indecision and low support across parties, limits any single contender’s dominance and keeps the three coalition partners closely positioned in seat projections. PJD retains modest implied probability tied to urban protest sentiment and historical bases, though its low current representation constrains upside. Local candidate strength, regional strongholds, and last-minute alliance signals could still reorder the final standings among the leaders.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$31,534End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The Moroccan legislative elections on September 23, 2026, feature a fragmented contest among the main governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—alongside smaller formations, with recent coalition strains and candidate recruitment shaping expectations for third place. Internal tensions have intensified as Istiqlal and PAM aligned with opposition calls for inquiries on issues like meat imports, prompting RNI criticism of coalition breaches, while PAM has pursued high-profile affiliations such as Fouzi Lekjaa’s move from technocratic roles and drawn defectors from RNI ranks. Public distrust in the government, reflected in polls showing widespread indecision and low support across parties, limits any single contender’s dominance and keeps the three coalition partners closely positioned in seat projections. PJD retains modest implied probability tied to urban protest sentiment and historical bases, though its low current representation constrains upside. Local candidate strength, regional strongholds, and last-minute alliance signals could still reorder the final standings among the leaders.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$31,534End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Moroccan legislative elections on September 23, 2026, feature a fragmented contest among the main governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI)—alongside smaller formations, with recent coalition strains and candidate recruitment shaping expectations for third place. Internal tensions have intensified as Istiqlal and PAM aligned with opposition calls for inquiries on issues like meat imports, prompting RNI criticism of coalition breaches, while PAM has pursued high-profile affiliations such as Fouzi Lekjaa’s move from technocratic roles and drawn defectors from RNI ranks. Public distrust in the government, reflected in polls showing widespread indecision and low support across parties, limits any single contender’s dominance and keeps the three coalition partners closely positioned in seat projections. PJD retains modest implied probability tied to urban protest sentiment and historical bases, though its low current representation constrains upside. Local candidate strength, regional strongholds, and last-minute alliance signals could still reorder the final standings among the leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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