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Elections·Primaries

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Maura Sullivan 61%

Stefany Shaheen 35%

Carleigh Beriont 3.8%

Heath Howard <1%

Polymarket

$54,947 Vol.

Maura Sullivan 61%

Stefany Shaheen 35%

Carleigh Beriont 3.8%

Heath Howard <1%

Polymarket

$54,947 Vol.

icon for Maura Sullivan

Maura Sullivan

$13,423 Vol.

61%

icon for Stefany Shaheen

Stefany Shaheen

$32,735 Vol.

35%

icon for Carleigh Beriont

Carleigh Beriont

$4,884 Vol.

4%

icon for Heath Howard

Heath Howard

$3,905 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maura Sullivan leads the NH-01 Democratic primary field ahead of the September 8 vote, supported by consistent fundraising dominance—more than $3.2 million raised with substantial cash on hand—and recent polling that shows her ahead of Stefany Shaheen. Late August surveys from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College placed Sullivan at 23-26% and Shaheen at 19-24%, with Carleigh Beriont gaining ground after state Rep. Heath Howard suspended his campaign and endorsed her. Sullivan’s profile as a Marine Corps veteran and former Obama administration official has drawn endorsements including from Rep. Mikie Sherrill, while Shaheen, a former Portsmouth city councilor and daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, has emphasized healthcare access but trailed in quarterly fundraising reports. Shaheen’s recent television ad criticizing Sullivan’s donor base, including pro-Israel contributions, has not reversed Sullivan’s polling and market positioning. The remaining candidates trail significantly with limited resources and visibility in a race where undecided voters remain a notable factor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$54,947
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maura Sullivan leads the NH-01 Democratic primary field ahead of the September 8 vote, supported by consistent fundraising dominance—more than $3.2 million raised with substantial cash on hand—and recent polling that shows her ahead of Stefany Shaheen. Late August surveys from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College placed Sullivan at 23-26% and Shaheen at 19-24%, with Carleigh Beriont gaining ground after state Rep. Heath Howard suspended his campaign and endorsed her. Sullivan’s profile as a Marine Corps veteran and former Obama administration official has drawn endorsements including from Rep. Mikie Sherrill, while Shaheen, a former Portsmouth city councilor and daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, has emphasized healthcare access but trailed in quarterly fundraising reports. Shaheen’s recent television ad criticizing Sullivan’s donor base, including pro-Israel contributions, has not reversed Sullivan’s polling and market positioning. The remaining candidates trail significantly with limited resources and visibility in a race where undecided voters remain a notable factor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$54,947
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Maura Sullivan" at 61%, followed by "Stefany Shaheen" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $54.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Maura Sullivan" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Stefany Shaheen" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.