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Politics·Mexico

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

icon for Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 25.5%

Adrián de la Garza Santos 23%

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 17.5%

Waldo Fernández González 13.4%

Polymarket

$39,680 Vol.

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 25.5%

Adrián de la Garza Santos 23%

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 17.5%

Waldo Fernández González 13.4%

Polymarket

$39,680 Vol.

icon for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

$2,090 Vol.

26%

icon for Adrián de la Garza Santos

Adrián de la Garza Santos

$7,015 Vol.

23%

icon for Mariana Rodríguez Cantú

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú

$11,453 Vol.

18%

icon for Waldo Fernández González

Waldo Fernández González

$571 Vol.

13%

icon for Jesús Alberto Elizondo

Jesús Alberto Elizondo

$326 Vol.

7%

icon for Félix Arratia Cruz

Félix Arratia Cruz

$381 Vol.

4%

icon for Clara Luz Flores Carrales

Clara Luz Flores Carrales

$3,983 Vol.

4%

icon for Carlos de la Fuente Flores

Carlos de la Fuente Flores

$330 Vol.

4%

icon for Raúl Lozano Caballero

Raúl Lozano Caballero

$337 Vol.

2%

icon for Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo

$3,108 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniel Carrillo Martínez

Daniel Carrillo Martínez

$4,632 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrés Mijes Llovera

Andrés Mijes Llovera

$1,309 Vol.

1%

icon for Miguel Flores Serna

Miguel Flores Serna

$386 Vol.

1%

icon for Annia Gómez Cárdenas

Annia Gómez Cárdenas

$377 Vol.

1%

icon for Arturo Salinas Garza

Arturo Salinas Garza

$578 Vol.

1%

icon for Fernando Margáin Berlanga

Fernando Margáin Berlanga

$342 Vol.

1%

icon for Martha Herrera González

Martha Herrera González

$306 Vol.

<1%

icon for Héctor García García

Héctor García García

$1,065 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla

$306 Vol.

<1%

icon for Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez

$343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Judith Díaz Delgado

Judith Díaz Delgado

$440 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The fragmented field for Nuevo León's 2027 gubernatorial race keeps probabilities tightly distributed, with no candidate exceeding 26% in current trader consensus. Recent June-July 2026 polls show Movimiento Ciudadano and Morena leading party identification in the mid-20s to low-30s, while internal surveys highlight Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas and Mariana Rodríguez Cantú as frontrunners within MC, Adrián de la Garza Santos consolidating support inside the PRI, and Waldo Fernández González, Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo, and Andrés Mijes Llovera competing in Morena's seven-candidate process set for polling-based resolution. Discussions of a PRI-PAN alliance and high undecided shares further sustain uncertainty. Separation could emerge from finalized party nominations, alliance formalization, or shifts in subsequent statewide surveys ahead of the election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$39,680
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The fragmented field for Nuevo León's 2027 gubernatorial race keeps probabilities tightly distributed, with no candidate exceeding 26% in current trader consensus. Recent June-July 2026 polls show Movimiento Ciudadano and Morena leading party identification in the mid-20s to low-30s, while internal surveys highlight Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas and Mariana Rodríguez Cantú as frontrunners within MC, Adrián de la Garza Santos consolidating support inside the PRI, and Waldo Fernández González, Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo, and Andrés Mijes Llovera competing in Morena's seven-candidate process set for polling-based resolution. Discussions of a PRI-PAN alliance and high undecided shares further sustain uncertainty. Separation could emerge from finalized party nominations, alliance formalization, or shifts in subsequent statewide surveys ahead of the election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$39,680
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas" at 26%, followed by "Adrián de la Garza Santos" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" has generated $39.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" is "Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adrián de la Garza Santos" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.