Johnny Chiang secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after prevailing in internal polls against Yang Chiung-ying and now holds a clear lead in recent surveys against DPP nominee Ho Hsin-chun, with support around 43% to 36% and stronger “likely winner” assessments near 48%. Strong party unity, public backing from term-limited incumbent Lu Shiow-yen, Chiang’s long-standing legislative record in Taichung districts, and the KMT’s current edge in open-seat local contests underpin trader consensus. Ho’s campaign focuses on governance and progress, yet faces lower name recognition. With roughly three months until the November 28 vote, sustained polling gaps and unified opposition mobilization would need to narrow sharply—via turnout shifts, national developments, or late-campaign events—for the outcome to change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTaichung Mayor Election Winner
Taichung Mayor Election Winner
Johnny Chiang 91%
Ho Hsin-chun 4.3%
Yang Chiung-ying 1.4%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Johnny Chiang
91%
Ho Hsin-chun
4%
Yang Chiung-ying
1%
Johnny Chiang 91%
Ho Hsin-chun 4.3%
Yang Chiung-ying 1.4%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Johnny Chiang
$1,563 Vol.
91%
Ho Hsin-chun
$143 Vol.
4%
Yang Chiung-ying
$1,170 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Johnny Chiang secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after prevailing in internal polls against Yang Chiung-ying and now holds a clear lead in recent surveys against DPP nominee Ho Hsin-chun, with support around 43% to 36% and stronger “likely winner” assessments near 48%. Strong party unity, public backing from term-limited incumbent Lu Shiow-yen, Chiang’s long-standing legislative record in Taichung districts, and the KMT’s current edge in open-seat local contests underpin trader consensus. Ho’s campaign focuses on governance and progress, yet faces lower name recognition. With roughly three months until the November 28 vote, sustained polling gaps and unified opposition mobilization would need to narrow sharply—via turnout shifts, national developments, or late-campaign events—for the outcome to change.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ET
Volume
$2,876End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Johnny Chiang secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after prevailing in internal polls against Yang Chiung-ying and now holds a clear lead in recent surveys against DPP nominee Ho Hsin-chun, with support around 43% to 36% and stronger “likely winner” assessments near 48%. Strong party unity, public backing from term-limited incumbent Lu Shiow-yen, Chiang’s long-standing legislative record in Taichung districts, and the KMT’s current edge in open-seat local contests underpin trader consensus. Ho’s campaign focuses on governance and progress, yet faces lower name recognition. With roughly three months until the November 28 vote, sustained polling gaps and unified opposition mobilization would need to narrow sharply—via turnout shifts, national developments, or late-campaign events—for the outcome to change.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,876End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Johnny Chiang secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after prevailing in internal polls against Yang Chiung-ying and now holds a clear lead in recent surveys against DPP nominee Ho Hsin-chun, with support around 43% to 36% and stronger “likely winner” assessments near 48%. Strong party unity, public backing from term-limited incumbent Lu Shiow-yen, Chiang’s long-standing legislative record in Taichung districts, and the KMT’s current edge in open-seat local contests underpin trader consensus. Ho’s campaign focuses on governance and progress, yet faces lower name recognition. With roughly three months until the November 28 vote, sustained polling gaps and unified opposition mobilization would need to narrow sharply—via turnout shifts, national developments, or late-campaign events—for the outcome to change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions