**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and international agencies indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms across multiple regions on September 6, 2026, driven by seasonal moisture patterns, weak frontal boundaries, and localized instability.** In the U.S., afternoon thunderstorm chances reach 30-60% in parts of the Southeast, Florida, and mid-Atlantic, with higher probabilities in the Southwest tied to monsoon remnants, while drier conditions prevail in the Northeast and northern Plains. Mexico faces widespread heavy rainfall, including very strong to intense amounts in states such as Sonora, Veracruz, and the Mexico City area per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance. Similar convective activity affects portions of India and Southeast Asia. Traders weigh these official model consensus outputs and real-time observations against historical September baselines, where isolated storms often produce measurable precipitation in humid subtropical zones; resolution hinges on verified rain at specific gauges or stations by end of day. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and radar trends through evening will provide the next key data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 6?
New York, NY
51%
Los Angeles, CA
99%
Chicago, IL
4%
Houston, TX
74%
Dallas, TX
3%
Phoenix, AZ
3%
Philadelphia, PA
51%
Denver, CO
24%
Washington, DC
4%
Atlanta, GA
47%
Miami, FL
69%
Seattle, WA
4%
Boston, MA
95%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
4%
$2,938 Vol.
New York, NY
51%
Los Angeles, CA
99%
Chicago, IL
4%
Houston, TX
74%
Dallas, TX
3%
Phoenix, AZ
3%
Philadelphia, PA
51%
Denver, CO
24%
Washington, DC
4%
Atlanta, GA
47%
Miami, FL
69%
Seattle, WA
4%
Boston, MA
95%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
4%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and international agencies indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms across multiple regions on September 6, 2026, driven by seasonal moisture patterns, weak frontal boundaries, and localized instability.** In the U.S., afternoon thunderstorm chances reach 30-60% in parts of the Southeast, Florida, and mid-Atlantic, with higher probabilities in the Southwest tied to monsoon remnants, while drier conditions prevail in the Northeast and northern Plains. Mexico faces widespread heavy rainfall, including very strong to intense amounts in states such as Sonora, Veracruz, and the Mexico City area per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance. Similar convective activity affects portions of India and Southeast Asia. Traders weigh these official model consensus outputs and real-time observations against historical September baselines, where isolated storms often produce measurable precipitation in humid subtropical zones; resolution hinges on verified rain at specific gauges or stations by end of day. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and radar trends through evening will provide the next key data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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