**Morena maintains a commanding position in Guerrero ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, with recent polls showing the party holding 43–56% voter intention compared to single digits for the PRI and other opposition forces.** Within the party, Beatriz Mojica Morga has consolidated as the leading aspirant in most July–August surveys, outpacing Esthela Damián Peralta and earlier contenders such as Félix Salgado Macedonio, while head-to-head scenarios place her well ahead of PRI figures like Manuel Añorve Baños. The prediction market’s tight pricing among top names reflects the still-fluid internal selection process, high undecided shares in surveys, and limited opposition visibility rather than any surge by rivals. Trader consensus prices the Morena nominee as the clear favorite but leaves room for shifts once formal candidacies and coalition alignments are finalized closer to the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeatriz Mojica Morga 34.0%
Esthela Damián Peralta 30.1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 6.2%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.5%
$23,669 Vol.
$23,669 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
34%
Esthela Damián Peralta
30%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
6%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
3%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
2%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
6%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 34.0%
Esthela Damián Peralta 30.1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 6.2%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.5%
$23,669 Vol.
$23,669 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
34%
Esthela Damián Peralta
30%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
6%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
3%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
2%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
6%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Morena maintains a commanding position in Guerrero ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, with recent polls showing the party holding 43–56% voter intention compared to single digits for the PRI and other opposition forces.** Within the party, Beatriz Mojica Morga has consolidated as the leading aspirant in most July–August surveys, outpacing Esthela Damián Peralta and earlier contenders such as Félix Salgado Macedonio, while head-to-head scenarios place her well ahead of PRI figures like Manuel Añorve Baños. The prediction market’s tight pricing among top names reflects the still-fluid internal selection process, high undecided shares in surveys, and limited opposition visibility rather than any surge by rivals. Trader consensus prices the Morena nominee as the clear favorite but leaves room for shifts once formal candidacies and coalition alignments are finalized closer to the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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