The market's near-certain 17°C outcome reflects official meteorological observations confirming that temperature as the daily maximum in Buenos Aires on August 26. Argentine weather service stations and international datasets recorded a peak consistent with late-winter conditions, where typical highs range 15–18°C under stable high-pressure influence. Model consensus from prior days aligned closely with this reading, and final verification removed remaining uncertainty. Minor revisions remain theoretically possible from station calibration checks or microclimate differences, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C and would require documented discrepancies from primary sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$32,026 Vol.
$32,026 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$32,026 Vol.
$32,026 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's near-certain 17°C outcome reflects official meteorological observations confirming that temperature as the daily maximum in Buenos Aires on August 26. Argentine weather service stations and international datasets recorded a peak consistent with late-winter conditions, where typical highs range 15–18°C under stable high-pressure influence. Model consensus from prior days aligned closely with this reading, and final verification removed remaining uncertainty. Minor revisions remain theoretically possible from station calibration checks or microclimate differences, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C and would require documented discrepancies from primary sources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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