Recent official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and numerical models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 28–29°C for Cape Town on September 7 under clear skies and light southwesterly to southeasterly winds. These conditions, typical of early spring high-pressure dominance over the region, support modest daytime heating without significant cloud cover or onshore flow to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with afternoon peaks most likely between 27°C and 29°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent stations tomorrow, with minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected frontal changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
28°C 37%
29°C 27%
27°C 22%
30°C 10%
$13,362 Vol.
$13,362 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
37%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
29°C 27%
27°C 22%
30°C 10%
$13,362 Vol.
$13,362 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
37%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and numerical models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 28–29°C for Cape Town on September 7 under clear skies and light southwesterly to southeasterly winds. These conditions, typical of early spring high-pressure dominance over the region, support modest daytime heating without significant cloud cover or onshore flow to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with afternoon peaks most likely between 27°C and 29°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent stations tomorrow, with minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected frontal changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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