Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project a high in the mid-90s on September 8 under mostly sunny conditions with a 40% afternoon thunderstorm chance, aligning closely with trader consensus around 94-95°F and 92-93°F. Light southeast winds, high humidity supporting heat indices above 105°F, and typical late-summer steering patterns favor modest daytime heating without strong capping inversions or widespread cloud cover to suppress peaks. Model agreement remains high given the short lead time, though scattered convection could shave a degree or two from the maximum depending on timing and coverage. Updated NWS point forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 8?
94-95°F 39%
92-93°F 36%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
36%
94-95°F
39%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
2%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 39%
92-93°F 36%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
83°F or below
$386 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$26 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$113 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$44 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$19 Vol.
13%
92-93°F
$967 Vol.
36%
94-95°F
$544 Vol.
39%
96-97°F
$55 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$15 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$65 Vol.
2%
102°F or higher
$416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project a high in the mid-90s on September 8 under mostly sunny conditions with a 40% afternoon thunderstorm chance, aligning closely with trader consensus around 94-95°F and 92-93°F. Light southeast winds, high humidity supporting heat indices above 105°F, and typical late-summer steering patterns favor modest daytime heating without strong capping inversions or widespread cloud cover to suppress peaks. Model agreement remains high given the short lead time, though scattered convection could shave a degree or two from the maximum depending on timing and coverage. Updated NWS point forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,652End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project a high in the mid-90s on September 8 under mostly sunny conditions with a 40% afternoon thunderstorm chance, aligning closely with trader consensus around 94-95°F and 92-93°F. Light southeast winds, high humidity supporting heat indices above 105°F, and typical late-summer steering patterns favor modest daytime heating without strong capping inversions or widespread cloud cover to suppress peaks. Model agreement remains high given the short lead time, though scattered convection could shave a degree or two from the maximum depending on timing and coverage. Updated NWS point forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,652End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston project a high in the mid-90s on September 8 under mostly sunny conditions with a 40% afternoon thunderstorm chance, aligning closely with trader consensus around 94-95°F and 92-93°F. Light southeast winds, high humidity supporting heat indices above 105°F, and typical late-summer steering patterns favor modest daytime heating without strong capping inversions or widespread cloud cover to suppress peaks. Model agreement remains high given the short lead time, though scattered convection could shave a degree or two from the maximum depending on timing and coverage. Updated NWS point forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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