Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to sunny skies and light winds over Houston on September 7, supporting highs in the mid-90s as the most probable outcome. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover should allow strong daytime heating, while elevated dew points near 75°F add moisture but do not significantly suppress maximum temperatures. Historical September averages near 91°F provide context, yet current conditions favor readings 3–5°F above normal. Minor forecast spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, keeping 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets closely matched in trader consensus. Updated model runs and the evening NWS discussion tomorrow will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 7?
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 41%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 41%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
83°F or below
$1,014 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$446 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$545 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$179 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$1,142 Vol.
8%
92-93°F
$3,635 Vol.
41%
94-95°F
$1,101 Vol.
43%
96-97°F
$584 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$169 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$150 Vol.
1%
102°F or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to sunny skies and light winds over Houston on September 7, supporting highs in the mid-90s as the most probable outcome. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover should allow strong daytime heating, while elevated dew points near 75°F add moisture but do not significantly suppress maximum temperatures. Historical September averages near 91°F provide context, yet current conditions favor readings 3–5°F above normal. Minor forecast spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, keeping 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets closely matched in trader consensus. Updated model runs and the evening NWS discussion tomorrow will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,252End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to sunny skies and light winds over Houston on September 7, supporting highs in the mid-90s as the most probable outcome. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover should allow strong daytime heating, while elevated dew points near 75°F add moisture but do not significantly suppress maximum temperatures. Historical September averages near 91°F provide context, yet current conditions favor readings 3–5°F above normal. Minor forecast spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, keeping 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets closely matched in trader consensus. Updated model runs and the evening NWS discussion tomorrow will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,252End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to sunny skies and light winds over Houston on September 7, supporting highs in the mid-90s as the most probable outcome. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover should allow strong daytime heating, while elevated dew points near 75°F add moisture but do not significantly suppress maximum temperatures. Historical September averages near 91°F provide context, yet current conditions favor readings 3–5°F above normal. Minor forecast spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze effects, keeping 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets closely matched in trader consensus. Updated model runs and the evening NWS discussion tomorrow will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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