Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and European ensembles indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into the Moscow region, with daytime highs on September 8 most likely peaking near 14–15°C under variable cloud cover and light winds. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering at those levels, reflecting trader assessment of guidance showing limited diurnal warming due to persistent stratiform clouds and modest insolation. Historical climatology places the September 8 average high at 17.9°C, but current sea-level pressure patterns and 850 hPa temperatures support a cooler anomaly. Key resolution hinges on the precise maximum observed at official stations, with any model shift toward clearer skies or warmer advection potentially lifting outcomes toward 16°C or higher before the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
15°C 36%
14°C 35%
13°C 16%
12°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
9%
13°C
16%
14°C
35%
15°C
36%
16°C
9%
17°C or higher
4%
15°C 36%
14°C 35%
13°C 16%
12°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
$187 Vol.
1%
8°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$104 Vol.
2%
11°C
$32 Vol.
6%
12°C
$25 Vol.
9%
13°C
$171 Vol.
16%
14°C
$49 Vol.
35%
15°C
$41 Vol.
36%
16°C
$2 Vol.
9%
17°C or higher
$51 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and European ensembles indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into the Moscow region, with daytime highs on September 8 most likely peaking near 14–15°C under variable cloud cover and light winds. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering at those levels, reflecting trader assessment of guidance showing limited diurnal warming due to persistent stratiform clouds and modest insolation. Historical climatology places the September 8 average high at 17.9°C, but current sea-level pressure patterns and 850 hPa temperatures support a cooler anomaly. Key resolution hinges on the precise maximum observed at official stations, with any model shift toward clearer skies or warmer advection potentially lifting outcomes toward 16°C or higher before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$893End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and European ensembles indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into the Moscow region, with daytime highs on September 8 most likely peaking near 14–15°C under variable cloud cover and light winds. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering at those levels, reflecting trader assessment of guidance showing limited diurnal warming due to persistent stratiform clouds and modest insolation. Historical climatology places the September 8 average high at 17.9°C, but current sea-level pressure patterns and 850 hPa temperatures support a cooler anomaly. Key resolution hinges on the precise maximum observed at official stations, with any model shift toward clearer skies or warmer advection potentially lifting outcomes toward 16°C or higher before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$893End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and European ensembles indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into the Moscow region, with daytime highs on September 8 most likely peaking near 14–15°C under variable cloud cover and light winds. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering at those levels, reflecting trader assessment of guidance showing limited diurnal warming due to persistent stratiform clouds and modest insolation. Historical climatology places the September 8 average high at 17.9°C, but current sea-level pressure patterns and 850 hPa temperatures support a cooler anomaly. Key resolution hinges on the precise maximum observed at official stations, with any model shift toward clearer skies or warmer advection potentially lifting outcomes toward 16°C or higher before the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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