Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts for September 7 project a high near 79–80°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies, light northerly flow, and dry air with dew points in the upper 40s to low 50s. This setup favors strong daytime heating but limited mixing, keeping the maximum close to the long-term Central Park average of 79.3°F while suppressing values above 82°F. Recent model runs show minor spread in peak timing and boundary-layer depth that separates the tightly matched 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, with traders weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from the prior 48 hours. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on September 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 7?
78-79°F 51%
80-81°F 43%
76-77°F 6%
82-83°F 3%
NEW
$12,923 Vol.
NEW
$12,923 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 51%
80-81°F 43%
76-77°F 6%
82-83°F 3%
NEW
$12,923 Vol.
NEW
$12,923 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
69°F or below
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$146 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$151 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,150 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$1,476 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$3,119 Vol.
51%
80-81°F
$2,797 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$1,578 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$314 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$50 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$1,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts for September 7 project a high near 79–80°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies, light northerly flow, and dry air with dew points in the upper 40s to low 50s. This setup favors strong daytime heating but limited mixing, keeping the maximum close to the long-term Central Park average of 79.3°F while suppressing values above 82°F. Recent model runs show minor spread in peak timing and boundary-layer depth that separates the tightly matched 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, with traders weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from the prior 48 hours. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will likely resolve the narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,923End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts for September 7 project a high near 79–80°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies, light northerly flow, and dry air with dew points in the upper 40s to low 50s. This setup favors strong daytime heating but limited mixing, keeping the maximum close to the long-term Central Park average of 79.3°F while suppressing values above 82°F. Recent model runs show minor spread in peak timing and boundary-layer depth that separates the tightly matched 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, with traders weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from the prior 48 hours. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will likely resolve the narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,923End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts for September 7 project a high near 79–80°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies, light northerly flow, and dry air with dew points in the upper 40s to low 50s. This setup favors strong daytime heating but limited mixing, keeping the maximum close to the long-term Central Park average of 79.3°F while suppressing values above 82°F. Recent model runs show minor spread in peak timing and boundary-layer depth that separates the tightly matched 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, with traders weighting the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from the prior 48 hours. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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