Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting model runs indicate a high near 13°C for Wellington on September 8, driven by clearing conditions after southerly winds and rain on the 7th, with light southerlies and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime warming. Spring climatology in the region typically features highs of 13–15°C, but the current pattern of cooler maritime air and modest insolation under variable cloud cover favors values at or just below the seasonal norm. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered between 12–14°C and low probability of stronger northerly warming or persistent showers that could suppress the maximum further. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
13°C 58%
12°C 18%
14°C 17%
15°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
18%
13°C
58%
14°C
17%
15°C
6%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 58%
12°C 18%
14°C 17%
15°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
8°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$250 Vol.
2%
11°C
$157 Vol.
3%
12°C
$208 Vol.
18%
13°C
$1,375 Vol.
58%
14°C
$3,203 Vol.
17%
15°C
$333 Vol.
6%
16°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$385 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting model runs indicate a high near 13°C for Wellington on September 8, driven by clearing conditions after southerly winds and rain on the 7th, with light southerlies and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime warming. Spring climatology in the region typically features highs of 13–15°C, but the current pattern of cooler maritime air and modest insolation under variable cloud cover favors values at or just below the seasonal norm. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered between 12–14°C and low probability of stronger northerly warming or persistent showers that could suppress the maximum further. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,078End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting model runs indicate a high near 13°C for Wellington on September 8, driven by clearing conditions after southerly winds and rain on the 7th, with light southerlies and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime warming. Spring climatology in the region typically features highs of 13–15°C, but the current pattern of cooler maritime air and modest insolation under variable cloud cover favors values at or just below the seasonal norm. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered between 12–14°C and low probability of stronger northerly warming or persistent showers that could suppress the maximum further. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,078End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting model runs indicate a high near 13°C for Wellington on September 8, driven by clearing conditions after southerly winds and rain on the 7th, with light southerlies and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime warming. Spring climatology in the region typically features highs of 13–15°C, but the current pattern of cooler maritime air and modest insolation under variable cloud cover favors values at or just below the seasonal norm. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered between 12–14°C and low probability of stronger northerly warming or persistent showers that could suppress the maximum further. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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