The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 72–73°F overnight low in Atlanta on August 26 stems from official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport aligning with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 70.1°F and recent years have clustered in the low 70s. Persistent southerly flow and high dew points maintained mild conditions without significant radiational cooling or cold-air advection, keeping temperatures well above historical extremes like the 58°F record from 1942. Model consensus from NOAA and NHC guidance prior to the date reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning near-certainty once preliminary data confirmed no departures. A realistic challenge would require verified station revisions or localized urban heat-island effects pushing the reading into adjacent bins, though such adjustments are rare after initial NWS quality control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Atlanta on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Atlanta on August 26?
72-73°F 99.6%
70-71°F 10%
64-65°F 7.9%
68-69°F 5%
$1,145 Vol.
$1,145 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 99.6%
70-71°F 10%
64-65°F 7.9%
68-69°F 5%
$1,145 Vol.
$1,145 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
63°F or below
$25 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$25 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$185 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$20 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$55 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$276 Vol.
100%
74-75°F
$375 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$63 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$58 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$45 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 72–73°F overnight low in Atlanta on August 26 stems from official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport aligning with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 70.1°F and recent years have clustered in the low 70s. Persistent southerly flow and high dew points maintained mild conditions without significant radiational cooling or cold-air advection, keeping temperatures well above historical extremes like the 58°F record from 1942. Model consensus from NOAA and NHC guidance prior to the date reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning near-certainty once preliminary data confirmed no departures. A realistic challenge would require verified station revisions or localized urban heat-island effects pushing the reading into adjacent bins, though such adjustments are rare after initial NWS quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,145End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 72–73°F overnight low in Atlanta on August 26 stems from official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport aligning with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 70.1°F and recent years have clustered in the low 70s. Persistent southerly flow and high dew points maintained mild conditions without significant radiational cooling or cold-air advection, keeping temperatures well above historical extremes like the 58°F record from 1942. Model consensus from NOAA and NHC guidance prior to the date reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning near-certainty once preliminary data confirmed no departures. A realistic challenge would require verified station revisions or localized urban heat-island effects pushing the reading into adjacent bins, though such adjustments are rare after initial NWS quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,145End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 72–73°F overnight low in Atlanta on August 26 stems from official observations at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport aligning with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 70.1°F and recent years have clustered in the low 70s. Persistent southerly flow and high dew points maintained mild conditions without significant radiational cooling or cold-air advection, keeping temperatures well above historical extremes like the 58°F record from 1942. Model consensus from NOAA and NHC guidance prior to the date reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning near-certainty once preliminary data confirmed no departures. A realistic challenge would require verified station revisions or localized urban heat-island effects pushing the reading into adjacent bins, though such adjustments are rare after initial NWS quality control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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