Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle near 21–23°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29–30°C. Market-implied odds clustering at 23°C (50%) and 21°C (47.5%) reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance, where modest wind speeds limit mixing and dew points near 18–20°C support efficient surface cooling. Historical August minima average near 20°C, but current stable high pressure and low precipitation probability (under 5%) reduce chances of warmer advection or cloud cover that could raise the low. Official station data from sites like Atatürk Airport will determine exact resolution as the day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
18°C or below 83%
19°C 47%
20°C 1%
26°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
83%
19°C
47%
20°C
1%
21°C
-
22°C
-
23°C
62%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 83%
19°C 47%
20°C 1%
26°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
$231 Vol.
83%
19°C
$157 Vol.
47%
20°C
$59 Vol.
1%
21°C
$43 Vol.
-
22°C
$0 Vol.
-
23°C
$6 Vol.
62%
24°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$204 Vol.
1%
27°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle near 21–23°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29–30°C. Market-implied odds clustering at 23°C (50%) and 21°C (47.5%) reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance, where modest wind speeds limit mixing and dew points near 18–20°C support efficient surface cooling. Historical August minima average near 20°C, but current stable high pressure and low precipitation probability (under 5%) reduce chances of warmer advection or cloud cover that could raise the low. Official station data from sites like Atatürk Airport will determine exact resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,295End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle near 21–23°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29–30°C. Market-implied odds clustering at 23°C (50%) and 21°C (47.5%) reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance, where modest wind speeds limit mixing and dew points near 18–20°C support efficient surface cooling. Historical August minima average near 20°C, but current stable high pressure and low precipitation probability (under 5%) reduce chances of warmer advection or cloud cover that could raise the low. Official station data from sites like Atatürk Airport will determine exact resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,295End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle near 21–23°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29–30°C. Market-implied odds clustering at 23°C (50%) and 21°C (47.5%) reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance, where modest wind speeds limit mixing and dew points near 18–20°C support efficient surface cooling. Historical August minima average near 20°C, but current stable high pressure and low precipitation probability (under 5%) reduce chances of warmer advection or cloud cover that could raise the low. Official station data from sites like Atatürk Airport will determine exact resolution as the day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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