**Trader consensus strongly favors a 76-77°F daily minimum in Miami on September 6, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing overnight lows in the upper 70s amid typical late-summer humidity.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a dew point near 77-79°F have limited radiative cooling, aligning with climatological averages of 76-77°F for the date. Official point forecasts and MOS guidance from the Miami NWS office project a low near 77°F, with minimal model spread supporting this narrow range. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies overnight or an atypical influx of drier air, which current steering patterns and moisture profiles make improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 6?
76-77°F 95%
74-75°F 4%
72-73°F 3%
71°F or below <1%
$10,855 Vol.
$10,855 Vol.
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
95%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 95%
74-75°F 4%
72-73°F 3%
71°F or below <1%
$10,855 Vol.
$10,855 Vol.
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
95%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 76-77°F daily minimum in Miami on September 6, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing overnight lows in the upper 70s amid typical late-summer humidity.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a dew point near 77-79°F have limited radiative cooling, aligning with climatological averages of 76-77°F for the date. Official point forecasts and MOS guidance from the Miami NWS office project a low near 77°F, with minimal model spread supporting this narrow range. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies overnight or an atypical influx of drier air, which current steering patterns and moisture profiles make improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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