Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 7 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 78-79°F bin, as dew points near 78°F and minimal overnight temperature drops are typical for early September in South Florida. Historical climatology shows average September lows around 76°F, but current atmospheric moisture from the western Atlantic and Gulf keeps readings elevated. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily, with limited upside for cooler outcomes unless drier air or clearer skies develop overnight. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions will refine probabilities through the evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 7?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 12%
72-73°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 12%
72-73°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
71°F or below
$110 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$116 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$956 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$525 Vol.
39%
80-81°F
$110 Vol.
12%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$330 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$70 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 7 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 78-79°F bin, as dew points near 78°F and minimal overnight temperature drops are typical for early September in South Florida. Historical climatology shows average September lows around 76°F, but current atmospheric moisture from the western Atlantic and Gulf keeps readings elevated. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily, with limited upside for cooler outcomes unless drier air or clearer skies develop overnight. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions will refine probabilities through the evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,383End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 7 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 78-79°F bin, as dew points near 78°F and minimal overnight temperature drops are typical for early September in South Florida. Historical climatology shows average September lows around 76°F, but current atmospheric moisture from the western Atlantic and Gulf keeps readings elevated. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily, with limited upside for cooler outcomes unless drier air or clearer skies develop overnight. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions will refine probabilities through the evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,383End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in Miami on September 7 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 78-79°F bin, as dew points near 78°F and minimal overnight temperature drops are typical for early September in South Florida. Historical climatology shows average September lows around 76°F, but current atmospheric moisture from the western Atlantic and Gulf keeps readings elevated. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily, with limited upside for cooler outcomes unless drier air or clearer skies develop overnight. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions will refine probabilities through the evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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