Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 28 will likely settle near 8–10°C, with trader consensus split evenly across these thresholds due to minor ensemble spread. Key differentiating factors include the degree of radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, the strength of northerly advection bringing cooler Arctic air, boundary-layer wind speeds that could limit or enhance mixing, and urban heat-island effects within the city. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima around 9–11°C, so current guidance aligns with seasonal norms while highlighting forecast sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or frontal timing over the next 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
9°C 50%
8°C 50%
6°C or below 21%
7°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
21%
7°C
8%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 50%
8°C 50%
6°C or below 21%
7°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
$169 Vol.
21%
7°C
$97 Vol.
8%
8°C
$0 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
50%
10°C
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$183 Vol.
1%
12°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$892 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 28 will likely settle near 8–10°C, with trader consensus split evenly across these thresholds due to minor ensemble spread. Key differentiating factors include the degree of radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, the strength of northerly advection bringing cooler Arctic air, boundary-layer wind speeds that could limit or enhance mixing, and urban heat-island effects within the city. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima around 9–11°C, so current guidance aligns with seasonal norms while highlighting forecast sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or frontal timing over the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,788End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 28 will likely settle near 8–10°C, with trader consensus split evenly across these thresholds due to minor ensemble spread. Key differentiating factors include the degree of radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, the strength of northerly advection bringing cooler Arctic air, boundary-layer wind speeds that could limit or enhance mixing, and urban heat-island effects within the city. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima around 9–11°C, so current guidance aligns with seasonal norms while highlighting forecast sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or frontal timing over the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,788End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 28 will likely settle near 8–10°C, with trader consensus split evenly across these thresholds due to minor ensemble spread. Key differentiating factors include the degree of radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, the strength of northerly advection bringing cooler Arctic air, boundary-layer wind speeds that could limit or enhance mixing, and urban heat-island effects within the city. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima around 9–11°C, so current guidance aligns with seasonal norms while highlighting forecast sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or frontal timing over the next 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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