Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate the daily minimum temperature in Seattle on August 27 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 50s °F, driven by southwest flow and increasing marine influence that limits overnight radiational cooling. Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 5–15 mph and dew points near 55 °F, supporting efficient mixing that prevents deeper cooling. Model consensus points to lows of 57–59 °F, aligning closely with the late-August climatological average of 55.9 °F while recent days have trended slightly above normal. The market’s heaviest weighting on the 56–59 °F bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with limited upside risk from clearing skies or downside from stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 27?
58-59°F 44%
56-57°F 36%
60-61°F 35%
62-63°F 26%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
36%
58-59°F
44%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 44%
56-57°F 36%
60-61°F 35%
62-63°F 26%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
36%
58-59°F
44%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate the daily minimum temperature in Seattle on August 27 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 50s °F, driven by southwest flow and increasing marine influence that limits overnight radiational cooling. Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 5–15 mph and dew points near 55 °F, supporting efficient mixing that prevents deeper cooling. Model consensus points to lows of 57–59 °F, aligning closely with the late-August climatological average of 55.9 °F while recent days have trended slightly above normal. The market’s heaviest weighting on the 56–59 °F bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with limited upside risk from clearing skies or downside from stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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