AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, with recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA placing the party at 35–38 percent against the SPD’s 27–29 percent. This positioning stems from sustained voter support on migration, economic concerns, and regional issues, doubling the party’s 2021 result while the incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails. The CDU, Linke, BSW, and smaller parties remain well behind, limiting viable alternatives. Trader consensus at 91 percent for AfD reflects this stability with three weeks remaining, though late shifts in turnout or consolidation among other parties could narrow margins in the final stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 91%
SPD 9%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$570,847 Vol.
$570,847 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
91%
SPD
9%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 91%
SPD 9%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$570,847 Vol.
$570,847 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
$121,147 Vol.
91%
SPD
$103,813 Vol.
9%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$102,915 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, with recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA placing the party at 35–38 percent against the SPD’s 27–29 percent. This positioning stems from sustained voter support on migration, economic concerns, and regional issues, doubling the party’s 2021 result while the incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails. The CDU, Linke, BSW, and smaller parties remain well behind, limiting viable alternatives. Trader consensus at 91 percent for AfD reflects this stability with three weeks remaining, though late shifts in turnout or consolidation among other parties could narrow margins in the final stretch.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$570,847End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, with recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA placing the party at 35–38 percent against the SPD’s 27–29 percent. This positioning stems from sustained voter support on migration, economic concerns, and regional issues, doubling the party’s 2021 result while the incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails. The CDU, Linke, BSW, and smaller parties remain well behind, limiting viable alternatives. Trader consensus at 91 percent for AfD reflects this stability with three weeks remaining, though late shifts in turnout or consolidation among other parties could narrow margins in the final stretch.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$570,847End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, with recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA placing the party at 35–38 percent against the SPD’s 27–29 percent. This positioning stems from sustained voter support on migration, economic concerns, and regional issues, doubling the party’s 2021 result while the incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails. The CDU, Linke, BSW, and smaller parties remain well behind, limiting viable alternatives. Trader consensus at 91 percent for AfD reflects this stability with three weeks remaining, though late shifts in turnout or consolidation among other parties could narrow margins in the final stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions