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Politics·Global Elections

Pará Governor Election Winner

icon for Pará Governor Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Pará Governor Election Winner

Hana Ghassan 58%

Dr. Daniel Santos 41%

Éder Mauro 2.5%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$34,049 Vol.

Hana Ghassan 58%

Dr. Daniel Santos 41%

Éder Mauro 2.5%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$34,049 Vol.

icon for Hana Ghassan

Hana Ghassan

$14,685 Vol.

58%

icon for Dr. Daniel Santos

Dr. Daniel Santos

$9,547 Vol.

41%

icon for Éder Mauro

Éder Mauro

$3,836 Vol.

2%

icon for Dirceu Ten Caten

Dirceu Ten Caten

$1,504 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rocha

Paulo Rocha

$1,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogério Barra

Rogério Barra

$1,561 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$1,374 Vol.

<1%

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's Senate bid, holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the 2026 Pará gubernatorial race, reflecting recent polling leads of roughly eight points in first-round scenarios. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor, trails amid a leaked personal video that prompted fresh surveys, including an upcoming Quaest release. High undecided shares in earlier July data have narrowed as Hana consolidates support from her MDB base and state resources, while Daniel's campaign faces added scrutiny. Low single-digit or fractional prices on other listed contenders underscore the two-way dynamic, with first-round victory thresholds and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements likely to determine separation before October voting.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,049
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's Senate bid, holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the 2026 Pará gubernatorial race, reflecting recent polling leads of roughly eight points in first-round scenarios. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor, trails amid a leaked personal video that prompted fresh surveys, including an upcoming Quaest release. High undecided shares in earlier July data have narrowed as Hana consolidates support from her MDB base and state resources, while Daniel's campaign faces added scrutiny. Low single-digit or fractional prices on other listed contenders underscore the two-way dynamic, with first-round victory thresholds and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements likely to determine separation before October voting.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,049
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pará Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hana Ghassan" at 58%, followed by "Dr. Daniel Santos" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pará Governor Election Winner" has generated $34K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pará Governor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pará Governor Election Winner" is "Hana Ghassan" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dr. Daniel Santos" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pará Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.