Recent polls from late August 2026 position Omar Aziz (PSD) as the consistent first-round leader with 26-34% support, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União Brasil, the interim governor), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante), who cluster in the mid-teens to low 20s amid high undecided and blank/null shares. Aziz benefits from stronger interior backing and alliances including with President Lula, while Cidade draws on 56% government approval ratings and established local networks. Multiple viable candidates fragment the field, producing technically tied second-round simulations between Aziz and top rivals. Trader consensus reflects Aziz’s edge but prices in uncertainty from voter volatility and the October 4 first-round vote, with separation likely hinging on turnout shifts, coalition moves, or further polling before the possible October 25 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOmar Aziz 53%
Roberto Cidade 42.1%
Professora Maria do Carmo 9%
David Almeida <1%
$12,591 Vol.
$12,591 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
53%
Roberto Cidade
42%
Professora Maria do Carmo
9%
David Almeida
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
<1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 53%
Roberto Cidade 42.1%
Professora Maria do Carmo 9%
David Almeida <1%
$12,591 Vol.
$12,591 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
$5,096 Vol.
53%
Roberto Cidade
$2,285 Vol.
42%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$2,302 Vol.
9%
David Almeida
$1,053 Vol.
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$764 Vol.
<1%
Cabo Daciolo
$523 Vol.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$569 Vol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August 2026 position Omar Aziz (PSD) as the consistent first-round leader with 26-34% support, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União Brasil, the interim governor), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante), who cluster in the mid-teens to low 20s amid high undecided and blank/null shares. Aziz benefits from stronger interior backing and alliances including with President Lula, while Cidade draws on 56% government approval ratings and established local networks. Multiple viable candidates fragment the field, producing technically tied second-round simulations between Aziz and top rivals. Trader consensus reflects Aziz’s edge but prices in uncertainty from voter volatility and the October 4 first-round vote, with separation likely hinging on turnout shifts, coalition moves, or further polling before the possible October 25 runoff.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Volume
$12,591End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August 2026 position Omar Aziz (PSD) as the consistent first-round leader with 26-34% support, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União Brasil, the interim governor), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante), who cluster in the mid-teens to low 20s amid high undecided and blank/null shares. Aziz benefits from stronger interior backing and alliances including with President Lula, while Cidade draws on 56% government approval ratings and established local networks. Multiple viable candidates fragment the field, producing technically tied second-round simulations between Aziz and top rivals. Trader consensus reflects Aziz’s edge but prices in uncertainty from voter volatility and the October 4 first-round vote, with separation likely hinging on turnout shifts, coalition moves, or further polling before the possible October 25 runoff.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,591End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from late August 2026 position Omar Aziz (PSD) as the consistent first-round leader with 26-34% support, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União Brasil, the interim governor), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante), who cluster in the mid-teens to low 20s amid high undecided and blank/null shares. Aziz benefits from stronger interior backing and alliances including with President Lula, while Cidade draws on 56% government approval ratings and established local networks. Multiple viable candidates fragment the field, producing technically tied second-round simulations between Aziz and top rivals. Trader consensus reflects Aziz’s edge but prices in uncertainty from voter volatility and the October 4 first-round vote, with separation likely hinging on turnout shifts, coalition moves, or further polling before the possible October 25 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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