Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading consolidated first- and second-preference totals at 17%, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) at 11% each and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) at 10%, with 26% undecided and a fragmented field of ten candidates competing for two open seats. The race for the single highest vote total remains tight because voters select two senators simultaneously, multiple PL-aligned names split the bolsonarista base, and large numbers of undecided or blank responses leave room for late shifts ahead of the October 4 election. Earlier July surveys had shown more fluctuation, with Cristina occasionally ahead on first preference, underscoring how campaign consolidation and turnout among rural and conservative blocs could still reorder the top finishers. Trader prices near 50% for leading names reflect this polling uncertainty and the structural complexity of a multi-candidate, dual-seat contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando Máximo 50%
Sílvia Cristina 42%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.0%
Acir Gurgacz 1.4%
$30,769 Vol.
$30,769 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
50%
Sílvia Cristina
42%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
8%
Acir Gurgacz
1%
Mariana Carvalho
1%
Luis Fernando
1%
Luciana Oliveira
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
1%
Neidinha
1%
Aires Mota
<1%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 50%
Sílvia Cristina 42%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.0%
Acir Gurgacz 1.4%
$30,769 Vol.
$30,769 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$13,379 Vol.
50%
Sílvia Cristina
$14,297 Vol.
42%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$284 Vol.
8%
Acir Gurgacz
$347 Vol.
1%
Mariana Carvalho
$352 Vol.
1%
Luis Fernando
$345 Vol.
1%
Luciana Oliveira
$462 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$389 Vol.
1%
Neidinha
$589 Vol.
1%
Aires Mota
$327 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading consolidated first- and second-preference totals at 17%, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) at 11% each and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) at 10%, with 26% undecided and a fragmented field of ten candidates competing for two open seats. The race for the single highest vote total remains tight because voters select two senators simultaneously, multiple PL-aligned names split the bolsonarista base, and large numbers of undecided or blank responses leave room for late shifts ahead of the October 4 election. Earlier July surveys had shown more fluctuation, with Cristina occasionally ahead on first preference, underscoring how campaign consolidation and turnout among rural and conservative blocs could still reorder the top finishers. Trader prices near 50% for leading names reflect this polling uncertainty and the structural complexity of a multi-candidate, dual-seat contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$30,769End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading consolidated first- and second-preference totals at 17%, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) at 11% each and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) at 10%, with 26% undecided and a fragmented field of ten candidates competing for two open seats. The race for the single highest vote total remains tight because voters select two senators simultaneously, multiple PL-aligned names split the bolsonarista base, and large numbers of undecided or blank responses leave room for late shifts ahead of the October 4 election. Earlier July surveys had shown more fluctuation, with Cristina occasionally ahead on first preference, underscoring how campaign consolidation and turnout among rural and conservative blocs could still reorder the top finishers. Trader prices near 50% for leading names reflect this polling uncertainty and the structural complexity of a multi-candidate, dual-seat contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,769End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading consolidated first- and second-preference totals at 17%, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP) and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) at 11% each and Mariana Carvalho (Republicanos) at 10%, with 26% undecided and a fragmented field of ten candidates competing for two open seats. The race for the single highest vote total remains tight because voters select two senators simultaneously, multiple PL-aligned names split the bolsonarista base, and large numbers of undecided or blank responses leave room for late shifts ahead of the October 4 election. Earlier July surveys had shown more fluctuation, with Cristina occasionally ahead on first preference, underscoring how campaign consolidation and turnout among rural and conservative blocs could still reorder the top finishers. Trader prices near 50% for leading names reflect this polling uncertainty and the structural complexity of a multi-candidate, dual-seat contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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