Recent polls from late August 2026 consistently place the AfD at 40-42% in Sachsen-Anhalt, roughly double its 2021 result and 18-20 points ahead of the governing CDU at 22-23%, with the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind. This sustained lead, measured days before the September 6 Landtag election, underpins trader consensus that the AfD will finish first. Other parties show limited movement, and roughly 30% of voters remain undecided, yet the scale of the gap limits realistic paths for any challenger to overtake. While AfD support remains short of an absolute majority and coalition barriers persist, these factors do not alter the probability of it emerging as the largest party by seat count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 99.6%
CDU <1%
The Left <1%
BSW <1%
$889,057 Vol.
$889,057 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
100%
CDU
<1%
The Left
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
The Greens
<1%
AfD 99.6%
CDU <1%
The Left <1%
BSW <1%
$889,057 Vol.
$889,057 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
$92,696 Vol.
100%
CDU
$504,121 Vol.
<1%
The Left
$47,106 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$36,803 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$27,385 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$124,095 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$56,851 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from late August 2026 consistently place the AfD at 40-42% in Sachsen-Anhalt, roughly double its 2021 result and 18-20 points ahead of the governing CDU at 22-23%, with the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind. This sustained lead, measured days before the September 6 Landtag election, underpins trader consensus that the AfD will finish first. Other parties show limited movement, and roughly 30% of voters remain undecided, yet the scale of the gap limits realistic paths for any challenger to overtake. While AfD support remains short of an absolute majority and coalition barriers persist, these factors do not alter the probability of it emerging as the largest party by seat count.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$889,057End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from late August 2026 consistently place the AfD at 40-42% in Sachsen-Anhalt, roughly double its 2021 result and 18-20 points ahead of the governing CDU at 22-23%, with the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind. This sustained lead, measured days before the September 6 Landtag election, underpins trader consensus that the AfD will finish first. Other parties show limited movement, and roughly 30% of voters remain undecided, yet the scale of the gap limits realistic paths for any challenger to overtake. While AfD support remains short of an absolute majority and coalition barriers persist, these factors do not alter the probability of it emerging as the largest party by seat count.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$889,057End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from late August 2026 consistently place the AfD at 40-42% in Sachsen-Anhalt, roughly double its 2021 result and 18-20 points ahead of the governing CDU at 22-23%, with the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind. This sustained lead, measured days before the September 6 Landtag election, underpins trader consensus that the AfD will finish first. Other parties show limited movement, and roughly 30% of voters remain undecided, yet the scale of the gap limits realistic paths for any challenger to overtake. While AfD support remains short of an absolute majority and coalition barriers persist, these factors do not alter the probability of it emerging as the largest party by seat count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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