Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats well ahead at roughly 30-31%, with the Sweden Democrats holding a narrow but consistent edge over the Moderate Party at around 19% versus 18%. This positioning stems from SD's sustained support on immigration, crime, and security issues that defined the Tidö government's agenda, while Moderates have seen modest gains from bloc tightening but trail in individual party trends. The election campaign's focus on cost of living and energy has not shifted second-place dynamics substantially in the final weeks, with SD benefiting from its role as the largest right-leaning party. Traders reflect this through implied probabilities favoring SD for second place, consistent with late-August surveys showing the gap between the two remaining stable despite overall bloc convergence ahead of the September 13 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Democrats (SD) 68%
Moderate Party (M) 33%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.0%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$49,645 Vol.
$49,645 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
68%
Moderate Party (M)
33%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 68%
Moderate Party (M) 33%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.0%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$49,645 Vol.
$49,645 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,686 Vol.
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$16,924 Vol.
68%
Moderate Party (M)
$11,721 Vol.
33%
Centre Party (C)
$2,242 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$5,350 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,352 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$1,781 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$1,901 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,689 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats well ahead at roughly 30-31%, with the Sweden Democrats holding a narrow but consistent edge over the Moderate Party at around 19% versus 18%. This positioning stems from SD's sustained support on immigration, crime, and security issues that defined the Tidö government's agenda, while Moderates have seen modest gains from bloc tightening but trail in individual party trends. The election campaign's focus on cost of living and energy has not shifted second-place dynamics substantially in the final weeks, with SD benefiting from its role as the largest right-leaning party. Traders reflect this through implied probabilities favoring SD for second place, consistent with late-August surveys showing the gap between the two remaining stable despite overall bloc convergence ahead of the September 13 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$49,645End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats well ahead at roughly 30-31%, with the Sweden Democrats holding a narrow but consistent edge over the Moderate Party at around 19% versus 18%. This positioning stems from SD's sustained support on immigration, crime, and security issues that defined the Tidö government's agenda, while Moderates have seen modest gains from bloc tightening but trail in individual party trends. The election campaign's focus on cost of living and energy has not shifted second-place dynamics substantially in the final weeks, with SD benefiting from its role as the largest right-leaning party. Traders reflect this through implied probabilities favoring SD for second place, consistent with late-August surveys showing the gap between the two remaining stable despite overall bloc convergence ahead of the September 13 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$49,645End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats well ahead at roughly 30-31%, with the Sweden Democrats holding a narrow but consistent edge over the Moderate Party at around 19% versus 18%. This positioning stems from SD's sustained support on immigration, crime, and security issues that defined the Tidö government's agenda, while Moderates have seen modest gains from bloc tightening but trail in individual party trends. The election campaign's focus on cost of living and energy has not shifted second-place dynamics substantially in the final weeks, with SD benefiting from its role as the largest right-leaning party. Traders reflect this through implied probabilities favoring SD for second place, consistent with late-August surveys showing the gap between the two remaining stable despite overall bloc convergence ahead of the September 13 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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