Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election polls show the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 31 percent, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats around 19 percent and the Moderates near 18 percent, with all other parties trailing well behind in single digits. This positioning underpins the Moderate Party's dominant market share for third place, as recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, and others indicate only modest movement between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates amid a narrowing overall bloc gap. Campaign focus on cost of living, crime, immigration, and energy has produced limited shifts in individual party support over the past month, leaving the Moderates as the consistent contender immediately behind the Sweden Democrats while smaller parties remain far from contention for third. The election timeline leaves little room for major late reversals before vote counting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 64%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 33%
Left Party (V) <1%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$57,755 Vol.
$57,755 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
33%
Moderate Party (M)
64%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 64%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 33%
Left Party (V) <1%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$57,755 Vol.
$57,755 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,472 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$9,964 Vol.
33%
Moderate Party (M)
$20,622 Vol.
64%
Centre Party (C)
$3,734 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$4,779 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,569 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$3,997 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$3,106 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election polls show the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 31 percent, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats around 19 percent and the Moderates near 18 percent, with all other parties trailing well behind in single digits. This positioning underpins the Moderate Party's dominant market share for third place, as recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, and others indicate only modest movement between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates amid a narrowing overall bloc gap. Campaign focus on cost of living, crime, immigration, and energy has produced limited shifts in individual party support over the past month, leaving the Moderates as the consistent contender immediately behind the Sweden Democrats while smaller parties remain far from contention for third. The election timeline leaves little room for major late reversals before vote counting begins.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$57,755End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election polls show the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 31 percent, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats around 19 percent and the Moderates near 18 percent, with all other parties trailing well behind in single digits. This positioning underpins the Moderate Party's dominant market share for third place, as recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, and others indicate only modest movement between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates amid a narrowing overall bloc gap. Campaign focus on cost of living, crime, immigration, and energy has produced limited shifts in individual party support over the past month, leaving the Moderates as the consistent contender immediately behind the Sweden Democrats while smaller parties remain far from contention for third. The election timeline leaves little room for major late reversals before vote counting begins.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$57,755End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election polls show the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 31 percent, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats around 19 percent and the Moderates near 18 percent, with all other parties trailing well behind in single digits. This positioning underpins the Moderate Party's dominant market share for third place, as recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, and others indicate only modest movement between the Sweden Democrats and Moderates amid a narrowing overall bloc gap. Campaign focus on cost of living, crime, immigration, and energy has produced limited shifts in individual party support over the past month, leaving the Moderates as the consistent contender immediately behind the Sweden Democrats while smaller parties remain far from contention for third. The election timeline leaves little room for major late reversals before vote counting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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