Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a cold front will moderate temperatures across the Black Rock Desert during Burning Man (Aug. 30–Sep. 7), shifting peak daily highs from pre-event levels near 95°F into the mid-80s to low-90s for much of the week. This cooling stems from increased southwesterly flow, cloud cover, and possible showers, contrasting with climatological late-August averages of 95–104°F. Large diurnal swings of 30–40°F, typical of high-desert conditions, plus uncertainty in frontal timing and model spreads around intensification or redevelopment of heat, produce the even distribution across temperature bins. Official NOAA guidance and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether any rebound above 95°F occurs before event close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature during Burning Man 2026?
87-88°F 27%
89-90°F 26%
91-92°F 26%
93-94°F 26%
86°F or below
25%
87-88°F
27%
89-90°F
26%
91-92°F
26%
93-94°F
26%
95-96°F
26%
97°F or above
26%
87-88°F 27%
89-90°F 26%
91-92°F 26%
93-94°F 26%
86°F or below
25%
87-88°F
27%
89-90°F
26%
91-92°F
26%
93-94°F
26%
95-96°F
26%
97°F or above
26%
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a cold front will moderate temperatures across the Black Rock Desert during Burning Man (Aug. 30–Sep. 7), shifting peak daily highs from pre-event levels near 95°F into the mid-80s to low-90s for much of the week. This cooling stems from increased southwesterly flow, cloud cover, and possible showers, contrasting with climatological late-August averages of 95–104°F. Large diurnal swings of 30–40°F, typical of high-desert conditions, plus uncertainty in frontal timing and model spreads around intensification or redevelopment of heat, produce the even distribution across temperature bins. Official NOAA guidance and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether any rebound above 95°F occurs before event close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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