Recent forecasts from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Amsterdam, with the spread reflecting modest differences in afternoon cloud cover and the timing of approaching showers. Easterly flow initially favored modest warming under partly cloudy skies, but a shift to southwesterly winds and increasing humidity has introduced variable convective inhibition; models diverge slightly on whether isolated thunderstorms arrive before or after peak insolation, directly affecting whether readings reach the upper or lower end of the narrow range. Official observations from KNMI stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
28°C 41%
27°C 32%
26°C 19%
29°C 10%
$37,540 Vol.
$37,540 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
19%
27°C
32%
28°C
41%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
27°C 32%
26°C 19%
29°C 10%
$37,540 Vol.
$37,540 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
19%
27°C
32%
28°C
41%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Amsterdam, with the spread reflecting modest differences in afternoon cloud cover and the timing of approaching showers. Easterly flow initially favored modest warming under partly cloudy skies, but a shift to southwesterly winds and increasing humidity has introduced variable convective inhibition; models diverge slightly on whether isolated thunderstorms arrive before or after peak insolation, directly affecting whether readings reach the upper or lower end of the narrow range. Official observations from KNMI stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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