**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets converge on a high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8 under persistent high pressure, producing sunny skies, light southerly winds, and heat indices above 105°F.** This places the 100-101°F bin at the top of trader-implied odds (40%), ahead of 102-103°F (23.5%), consistent with the latest runs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Above-average warmth continues after a stretch of 100°F+ days, though slight model spread on peak mixing or timing keeps a modest probability on the adjacent bins. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the primary observing site, with little rain expected to alter surface heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 24%
96-97°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
91°F or below
3%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
15%
108-109°F
5%
110°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 24%
96-97°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
91°F or below
$48 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
17%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
26%
100-101°F
$134 Vol.
52%
102-103°F
$172 Vol.
24%
104-105°F
$57 Vol.
7%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
15%
108-109°F
$57 Vol.
5%
110°F or higher
$125 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets converge on a high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8 under persistent high pressure, producing sunny skies, light southerly winds, and heat indices above 105°F.** This places the 100-101°F bin at the top of trader-implied odds (40%), ahead of 102-103°F (23.5%), consistent with the latest runs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Above-average warmth continues after a stretch of 100°F+ days, though slight model spread on peak mixing or timing keeps a modest probability on the adjacent bins. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the primary observing site, with little rain expected to alter surface heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$592End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets converge on a high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8 under persistent high pressure, producing sunny skies, light southerly winds, and heat indices above 105°F.** This places the 100-101°F bin at the top of trader-implied odds (40%), ahead of 102-103°F (23.5%), consistent with the latest runs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Above-average warmth continues after a stretch of 100°F+ days, though slight model spread on peak mixing or timing keeps a modest probability on the adjacent bins. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the primary observing site, with little rain expected to alter surface heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$592End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets converge on a high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8 under persistent high pressure, producing sunny skies, light southerly winds, and heat indices above 105°F.** This places the 100-101°F bin at the top of trader-implied odds (40%), ahead of 102-103°F (23.5%), consistent with the latest runs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Above-average warmth continues after a stretch of 100°F+ days, though slight model spread on peak mixing or timing keeps a modest probability on the adjacent bins. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the primary observing site, with little rain expected to alter surface heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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