**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F at Denver International Airport on August 26, 2026, reached at 3:22 PM local time.** This placed the daily high squarely in the 86–87°F bin, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability once preliminary reports confirmed the reading. The day remained dry with no precipitation, light winds, and partly cloudy skies, allowing temperatures to climb modestly above the 1991–2020 normal high of 86°F. Afternoon heating under these stable conditions produced the precise outcome without pushing into higher bins. Market positioning reflects the final verified climatological report rather than forecasts, as traders incorporated the official maximum once it became available. Alternative resolutions would require a revision to the NWS record, use of a non-standard station, or a measurement error—none of which occurred here. The result aligned with the skin-in-the-game consensus once ground-truth data arrived.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 26?
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$23,135 Vol.
$23,135 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$23,135 Vol.
$23,135 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
75°F or below
$1,303 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,109 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,118 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,717 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,945 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,536 Vol.
100%
88-89°F
$2,270 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,580 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,031 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F at Denver International Airport on August 26, 2026, reached at 3:22 PM local time.** This placed the daily high squarely in the 86–87°F bin, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability once preliminary reports confirmed the reading.
The day remained dry with no precipitation, light winds, and partly cloudy skies, allowing temperatures to climb modestly above the 1991–2020 normal high of 86°F. Afternoon heating under these stable conditions produced the precise outcome without pushing into higher bins.
Market positioning reflects the final verified climatological report rather than forecasts, as traders incorporated the official maximum once it became available. Alternative resolutions would require a revision to the NWS record, use of a non-standard station, or a measurement error—none of which occurred here. The result aligned with the skin-in-the-game consensus once ground-truth data arrived.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$23,135End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F at Denver International Airport on August 26, 2026, reached at 3:22 PM local time.** This placed the daily high squarely in the 86–87°F bin, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability once preliminary reports confirmed the reading.
The day remained dry with no precipitation, light winds, and partly cloudy skies, allowing temperatures to climb modestly above the 1991–2020 normal high of 86°F. Afternoon heating under these stable conditions produced the precise outcome without pushing into higher bins.
Market positioning reflects the final verified climatological report rather than forecasts, as traders incorporated the official maximum once it became available. Alternative resolutions would require a revision to the NWS record, use of a non-standard station, or a measurement error—none of which occurred here. The result aligned with the skin-in-the-game consensus once ground-truth data arrived.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,135End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F at Denver International Airport on August 26, 2026, reached at 3:22 PM local time.** This placed the daily high squarely in the 86–87°F bin, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability once preliminary reports confirmed the reading. The day remained dry with no precipitation, light winds, and partly cloudy skies, allowing temperatures to climb modestly above the 1991–2020 normal high of 86°F. Afternoon heating under these stable conditions produced the precise outcome without pushing into higher bins. Market positioning reflects the final verified climatological report rather than forecasts, as traders incorporated the official maximum once it became available. Alternative resolutions would require a revision to the NWS record, use of a non-standard station, or a measurement error—none of which occurred here. The result aligned with the skin-in-the-game consensus once ground-truth data arrived.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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