Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 5, aligning with the near-certain market consensus on that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover under typical late-summer conditions allowed surface temperatures to climb steadily through the afternoon, consistent with climatological norms for early September when mean highs often reach 30–31°C. Model guidance and nearby station data showed no significant deviations that would support a higher or lower peak. Revised quality-controlled readings or use of an alternate reference station remain the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though historical practice favors the primary Observatory value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
32°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$123,985 Vol.
$123,985 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$123,985 Vol.
$123,985 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$4,335 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$987 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,297 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,884 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$18,356 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$26,244 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$29,011 Vol.
100%
33°C
$28,973 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$6,154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 5, aligning with the near-certain market consensus on that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover under typical late-summer conditions allowed surface temperatures to climb steadily through the afternoon, consistent with climatological norms for early September when mean highs often reach 30–31°C. Model guidance and nearby station data showed no significant deviations that would support a higher or lower peak. Revised quality-controlled readings or use of an alternate reference station remain the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though historical practice favors the primary Observatory value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$123,985End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 5, aligning with the near-certain market consensus on that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover under typical late-summer conditions allowed surface temperatures to climb steadily through the afternoon, consistent with climatological norms for early September when mean highs often reach 30–31°C. Model guidance and nearby station data showed no significant deviations that would support a higher or lower peak. Revised quality-controlled readings or use of an alternate reference station remain the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though historical practice favors the primary Observatory value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$123,985End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 5, aligning with the near-certain market consensus on that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover under typical late-summer conditions allowed surface temperatures to climb steadily through the afternoon, consistent with climatological norms for early September when mean highs often reach 30–31°C. Model guidance and nearby station data showed no significant deviations that would support a higher or lower peak. Revised quality-controlled readings or use of an alternate reference station remain the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though historical practice favors the primary Observatory value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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