Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 7 indicate a high near 32°C under light winds, mainly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, and scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day. This outlook underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, as traders weigh the potential for cloud cover and precipitation to suppress peak heating against brief clear periods that could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. High relative humidity of 65–90% and sea surface temperatures near 28°C further moderate daytime warming. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Observatory will likely refine the maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
31°C 36%
32°C 34%
33°C 16%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
36%
32°C
34%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 34%
33°C 16%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
$440 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$647 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,219 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,329 Vol.
14%
31°C
$614 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,821 Vol.
34%
33°C
$1,022 Vol.
16%
34°C
$874 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 7 indicate a high near 32°C under light winds, mainly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, and scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day. This outlook underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, as traders weigh the potential for cloud cover and precipitation to suppress peak heating against brief clear periods that could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. High relative humidity of 65–90% and sea surface temperatures near 28°C further moderate daytime warming. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Observatory will likely refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,477End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 7 indicate a high near 32°C under light winds, mainly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, and scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day. This outlook underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, as traders weigh the potential for cloud cover and precipitation to suppress peak heating against brief clear periods that could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. High relative humidity of 65–90% and sea surface temperatures near 28°C further moderate daytime warming. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Observatory will likely refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,477End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 7 indicate a high near 32°C under light winds, mainly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, and scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day. This outlook underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, as traders weigh the potential for cloud cover and precipitation to suppress peak heating against brief clear periods that could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. High relative humidity of 65–90% and sea surface temperatures near 28°C further moderate daytime warming. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Observatory will likely refine the maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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