**Near-term forecast models position 36–37°C as the most probable range for Jeddah’s September 8 high, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 41% for 37°C and 23.5% for 36°C.** Stable late-summer conditions over the Red Sea coast, including light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, support daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 36–37.5°C. Recent observations from Jeddah King Abdulaziz International Airport show consistent highs of 35–36°C with no significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger monsoon influences or upper-level cooling, expected before resolution. Ensemble guidance indicates low variability, though slight model spread around peak heating could allow a modest chance of 38°C if insolation strengthens. Updated National Meteorological Center briefings and next model runs will provide the final data points traders are monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 8?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 8?
37°C 41%
36°C 24%
38°C 19%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
24%
37°C
41%
38°C
19%
39°C or higher
6%
37°C 41%
36°C 24%
38°C 19%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
29°C or below
$235 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$78 Vol.
2%
34°C
$4 Vol.
3%
35°C
$17 Vol.
6%
36°C
$122 Vol.
24%
37°C
$324 Vol.
41%
38°C
$37 Vol.
19%
39°C or higher
$217 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-term forecast models position 36–37°C as the most probable range for Jeddah’s September 8 high, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 41% for 37°C and 23.5% for 36°C.** Stable late-summer conditions over the Red Sea coast, including light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, support daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 36–37.5°C. Recent observations from Jeddah King Abdulaziz International Airport show consistent highs of 35–36°C with no significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger monsoon influences or upper-level cooling, expected before resolution. Ensemble guidance indicates low variability, though slight model spread around peak heating could allow a modest chance of 38°C if insolation strengthens. Updated National Meteorological Center briefings and next model runs will provide the final data points traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,503End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-term forecast models position 36–37°C as the most probable range for Jeddah’s September 8 high, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 41% for 37°C and 23.5% for 36°C.** Stable late-summer conditions over the Red Sea coast, including light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, support daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 36–37.5°C. Recent observations from Jeddah King Abdulaziz International Airport show consistent highs of 35–36°C with no significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger monsoon influences or upper-level cooling, expected before resolution. Ensemble guidance indicates low variability, though slight model spread around peak heating could allow a modest chance of 38°C if insolation strengthens. Updated National Meteorological Center briefings and next model runs will provide the final data points traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,503End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Near-term forecast models position 36–37°C as the most probable range for Jeddah’s September 8 high, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 41% for 37°C and 23.5% for 36°C.** Stable late-summer conditions over the Red Sea coast, including light northwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, support daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 36–37.5°C. Recent observations from Jeddah King Abdulaziz International Airport show consistent highs of 35–36°C with no significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger monsoon influences or upper-level cooling, expected before resolution. Ensemble guidance indicates low variability, though slight model spread around peak heating could allow a modest chance of 38°C if insolation strengthens. Updated National Meteorological Center briefings and next model runs will provide the final data points traders are monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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