Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and regional ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 8, driven by typical late-summer conditions: high humidity with dew points around 24–26°C limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies under stable high pressure. This keeps overnight lows elevated compared to drier inland areas, aligning with September climatology of 27–29°C minima. Trader consensus clusters around 30°C as the slight favorite while spreading probability across 25–33°C bins, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution. No significant weather systems are expected to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 8?
24°C or below 93%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
28°C 49%
24°C or below
93%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
27%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C or higher
1%
24°C or below 93%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
28°C 49%
24°C or below
93%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
27%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and regional ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 28–30°C for Jeddah on September 8, driven by typical late-summer conditions: high humidity with dew points around 24–26°C limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies under stable high pressure. This keeps overnight lows elevated compared to drier inland areas, aligning with September climatology of 27–29°C minima. Trader consensus clusters around 30°C as the slight favorite while spreading probability across 25–33°C bins, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C before resolution. No significant weather systems are expected to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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