Current numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah on September 7 will likely range from 29–31°C amid typical early-fall conditions of high humidity, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. Historical September minima average near 27°C, with values below 25°C uncommon outside rare intrusions of cooler air masses, while recent observations show persistent warmth near 30°C. Forecast uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds—driven by local boundary-layer effects and model spread—supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered around 25–30°C, with traders weighting the probability of modest cooling against the prevailing hot, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 7?
25°C or below 84%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
31°C 50%
25°C or below
84%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
50%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
25°C or below 84%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
31°C 50%
25°C or below
84%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
50%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah on September 7 will likely range from 29–31°C amid typical early-fall conditions of high humidity, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. Historical September minima average near 27°C, with values below 25°C uncommon outside rare intrusions of cooler air masses, while recent observations show persistent warmth near 30°C. Forecast uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds—driven by local boundary-layer effects and model spread—supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered around 25–30°C, with traders weighting the probability of modest cooling against the prevailing hot, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions