**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles and regional guidance, position a daytime high of 36–37 °C as the most probable outcome for Jeddah on September 7.** This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities (37 °C at 46.5 %, 36 °C at 32 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable, seasonally typical conditions. Jeddah’s arid coastal climate, moderated by Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31–32 °C and prevailing northwesterly winds, supports these values without strong synoptic forcing for extremes. Recent observations show no significant model spread or incoming disturbances that would push temperatures toward 38 °C or higher, while historical September averages hover near 35–37 °C. Final model updates and official Saudi Meteorological Authority guidance ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the last inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 7?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 7?
37°C 47%
36°C 32%
38°C 14%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
32%
37°C
47%
38°C
14%
39°C or higher
3%
37°C 47%
36°C 32%
38°C 14%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
$289 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$369 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$332 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,599 Vol.
6%
36°C
$1,166 Vol.
32%
37°C
$1,103 Vol.
47%
38°C
$729 Vol.
14%
39°C or higher
$936 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles and regional guidance, position a daytime high of 36–37 °C as the most probable outcome for Jeddah on September 7.** This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities (37 °C at 46.5 %, 36 °C at 32 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable, seasonally typical conditions. Jeddah’s arid coastal climate, moderated by Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31–32 °C and prevailing northwesterly winds, supports these values without strong synoptic forcing for extremes. Recent observations show no significant model spread or incoming disturbances that would push temperatures toward 38 °C or higher, while historical September averages hover near 35–37 °C. Final model updates and official Saudi Meteorological Authority guidance ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,030End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles and regional guidance, position a daytime high of 36–37 °C as the most probable outcome for Jeddah on September 7.** This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities (37 °C at 46.5 %, 36 °C at 32 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable, seasonally typical conditions. Jeddah’s arid coastal climate, moderated by Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31–32 °C and prevailing northwesterly winds, supports these values without strong synoptic forcing for extremes. Recent observations show no significant model spread or incoming disturbances that would push temperatures toward 38 °C or higher, while historical September averages hover near 35–37 °C. Final model updates and official Saudi Meteorological Authority guidance ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,030End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles and regional guidance, position a daytime high of 36–37 °C as the most probable outcome for Jeddah on September 7.** This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities (37 °C at 46.5 %, 36 °C at 32 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable, seasonally typical conditions. Jeddah’s arid coastal climate, moderated by Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31–32 °C and prevailing northwesterly winds, supports these values without strong synoptic forcing for extremes. Recent observations show no significant model spread or incoming disturbances that would push temperatures toward 38 °C or higher, while historical September averages hover near 35–37 °C. Final model updates and official Saudi Meteorological Authority guidance ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the last inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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