Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple numerical models indicate a daytime maximum in the low-20s Celsius for Mexico City on September 7, driven by persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity, and scattered showers that suppress surface heating. These conditions stem from ongoing moisture influx and weak steering flow, keeping the temperature range narrow around 21–23 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 22 °C and 23 °C probabilities captures remaining uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, while lower odds on 24 °C or higher acknowledge the limited potential for brief clearing that could allow greater insolation. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine the final outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 7?
23°C 33%
22°C 32%
21°C 18%
24°C or higher 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
18%
22°C
32%
23°C
33%
24°C or higher
13%
23°C 33%
22°C 32%
21°C 18%
24°C or higher 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$689 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,051 Vol.
6%
21°C
$1,563 Vol.
18%
22°C
$755 Vol.
32%
23°C
$2,930 Vol.
33%
24°C or higher
$1,756 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple numerical models indicate a daytime maximum in the low-20s Celsius for Mexico City on September 7, driven by persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity, and scattered showers that suppress surface heating. These conditions stem from ongoing moisture influx and weak steering flow, keeping the temperature range narrow around 21–23 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 22 °C and 23 °C probabilities captures remaining uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, while lower odds on 24 °C or higher acknowledge the limited potential for brief clearing that could allow greater insolation. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,383End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple numerical models indicate a daytime maximum in the low-20s Celsius for Mexico City on September 7, driven by persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity, and scattered showers that suppress surface heating. These conditions stem from ongoing moisture influx and weak steering flow, keeping the temperature range narrow around 21–23 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 22 °C and 23 °C probabilities captures remaining uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, while lower odds on 24 °C or higher acknowledge the limited potential for brief clearing that could allow greater insolation. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,383End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple numerical models indicate a daytime maximum in the low-20s Celsius for Mexico City on September 7, driven by persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity, and scattered showers that suppress surface heating. These conditions stem from ongoing moisture influx and weak steering flow, keeping the temperature range narrow around 21–23 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 22 °C and 23 °C probabilities captures remaining uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, while lower odds on 24 °C or higher acknowledge the limited potential for brief clearing that could allow greater insolation. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine the final outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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